Result
3:1
13/09/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Jia League - Round 22
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | Migu, ZhiBo8 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 0.85 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (357/422) | 80% (236/296) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 0.85 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.94 | 1.04 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (357/422) | 80% (236/296) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (23/41) | 57% (26/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (59/102) | 72% (65/90) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (3/11) | 22% (7/32) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 0.60 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (8/10) | 63% (10/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 30 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.04 | 1.94 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.04 | -1.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 19', 0 - 1, Chen Yongze ⚽, Samuel A. (A),
- 45', 1 - 1, Xie Zhiwei ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Reiner C. ↓, Wang Weipu ↑,
- 51', Xie Zhiwei 🟨,
- 53', Gao Haisheng ↓, Gao Jiarun ↑,
- 62', 2 - 1, Mi Haolun ⚽,
- 63', Mi Haolun ↓, Aniwar Abduwahap ↑,
- 65', 3 - 1, Liang Shaowen ⚽, El Azrak R. (A),
- 67', Chen Yongze ↓, Zhang Jiaming ↑,
- 69', 🟨,
- 69', Wei Zhiwei ↓, Li Xiaoyi ↑,
- 70', Pan Ximing 🟨,
- 76', Tian Yinong ↓, Tian Deao ↑,
- 78', Liang Shaowen ↓, Tursunali Nureli ↑,
- 83', Gui Zihan ↓, Zheng Zhiyun ↑,
- 90+5', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Shaanxi Union
32.4% | Draw
28.6% | Liaoning Tieren
39% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shaanxi Union has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shaanxi Union's performance.Liaoning Tieren has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Liaoning Tieren might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shaanxi Union than the current prediction. (-9.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shaanxi Union that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liaoning Tieren than the current prediction. (+13.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Liaoning Tieren could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Shaanxi Union - Liaoning Tieren Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.82 ↓
(3.76) |
3.2 ↓
(3.58) |
2.34 ↑
(1.82) |
9.4%
(9.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Shaanxi Union - Liaoning Tieren?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Shaanxi Union will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Liaoning Tieren will win (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Liaoning Tieren: 29.6% – 90.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Liaoning Tieren will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League).
- Recent performances by Shaanxi Union have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Liaoning Tieren is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Shaanxi Union won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Shaanxi Union won against Liaoning Tieren?
Shaanxi Union has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Liaoning Tieren won against Shaanxi Union?
Liaoning Tieren has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Shaanxi Union - Liaoning Tieren were as follows:
04.05.2025
Liaoning Tieren
-
Shaanxi Union
2:1
Latest results of Shaanxi Union
Latest results of Liaoning Tieren
Chinese Jia League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Liaoning Tieren | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 49:24 | 25 | 50 |
| 2 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 22 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 44:26 | 18 | 46 |
| 3 | Guangdong GZ-Power | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 37:27 | 10 | 40 |
| 4 | Yanbian Longding | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 24:20 | 4 | 36 |
| 5 | Dalian K'un City | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 30:26 | 4 | 34 |
| 6 | Nantong Zhiyun | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 28:23 | 5 | 32 |
| 7 | Dingnan Ganlian | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 32:28 | 4 | 32 |
| 8 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 30:26 | 4 | 32 |
| 9 | Nanjing City | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 30:30 | 0 | 28 |
| 10 | Shaanxi Union | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 32:35 | -3 | 27 |
| 11 | Shanghai Jiading Huilong | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 19:27 | -8 | 26 |
| 12 | Suzhou Dongwu | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 19:24 | -5 | 24 |
| 13 | Shenzhen Juniors | 22 | 7 | 2 | 13 | 31:45 | -14 | 23 |
| 14 | Foshan Nanshi | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 20:34 | -14 | 21 |
| 15 | Guangxi Pingguo Haliao | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 17:31 | -14 | 18 |
| 16 | Qingdao Red Lions | 22 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 13:29 | -16 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Super League
Relegation ~ Yi League
