Result
2:2
11/05/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Serie B Superbet - Round 7
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.36 | 0.89 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (320/405) | 82% (336/409) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.36 | 0.89 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.82 | 1.07 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 21 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (320/405) | 82% (336/409) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (21/52) | 48% (29/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (73/109) | 67% (70/104) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (5/22) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 0.57 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 21 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 70% (7/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 9 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.07 | 1.82 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.93 | -0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 2', 1 - 0, Nathan Fogaca ⚽, Luis Oyama (A),
- 32', 1 - 1, Thiago Lopes ⚽,
- 45+2', Eric Melo 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 48', 2 - 1, Matheus Frizzo (Pen),
- 54', 2 - 2, Carlao ⚽, Thiago Lopes (A),
- 67', Luis Oyama ↓, Marlon ↑,
- 67', Pablo Dyego ↓, Bruno Jose ↑,
- 67', Leo Natel ↓, Waguininho ↑,
- 68', Denis Junior 🟨,
- 70', Albano ↓, Ian Luccas ↑,
- 70', Eric Melo ↓, Ze Mario ↑,
- 78', Netinho ↓, Alencar ↑,
- 78', Juninho ↓, Igor Bolt ↑,
- 79', Patrick Brey 🟨,
- 81', Patrick Brey ↓, Igor Formiga ↑,
- 81', Matheus Frizzo ↓, Ruiz O. ↑,
- 88', Marlon 🟨,
- 89', Ricardinho ↓, Tarik ↑,
- 90+7', Ze Mario 🟨,
Chances of winning
Grêmio Novorizontino
55.8% | Draw
27.7% | Ferroviária
16.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grêmio Novorizontino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Grêmio Novorizontino's performance.Ferroviária has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ferroviária might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (-7.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Grêmio Novorizontino that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (+7.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ferroviária could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Grêmio Novorizontino - Ferroviária Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.68 ↓
(1.95) |
3.4 ↑
(3.33) |
5.6 ↑
(3.83) |
6.7%
(7.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13 and 12).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Novorizontino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Novorizontino is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Novorizontino: Airton
(Inactive)
Cesar Martins
(Injury)
Jean Irmer
(Yellow Cards)
Renato Palm
(Inactive)
Robson
(Injury)
Vitinho
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Ferroviária: Caua A.
(Inactive)
Denilson
(Inactive)
Thayllon
(Inactive)
Vitor Barreto
(Inactive)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Novorizontino won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 1.6:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Novorizontino won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio Novorizontino won against Ferroviária?
Grêmio Novorizontino has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ferroviária won against Grêmio Novorizontino?
Ferroviária has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Grêmio Novorizontino - Ferroviária were as follows:
Latest results of Grêmio Novorizontino
Latest results of Ferroviária
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coritiba | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 16:6 | 10 | 33 |
| 2 | Goias | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 20:12 | 8 | 33 |
| 3 | Novorizontino | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 21:11 | 10 | 30 |
| 4 | Avai | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19:13 | 6 | 24 |
| 5 | Remo | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 24 |
| 6 | Athletico-PR | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 19:20 | -1 | 23 |
| 7 | Vila Nova FC | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 14:15 | -1 | 23 |
| 8 | Chapecoense-SC | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 19:15 | 4 | 22 |
| 9 | Cuiaba | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 15:16 | -1 | 22 |
| 10 | Atletico GO | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 18:16 | 2 | 22 |
| 11 | CRB | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 15:15 | 0 | 21 |
| 12 | America MG | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 17:20 | -3 | 20 |
| 13 | Criciuma | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19:17 | 2 | 20 |
| 14 | Operario-PR | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17:19 | -2 | 18 |
| 15 | Ferroviaria | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 16:19 | -3 | 18 |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 12:17 | -5 | 17 |
| 17 | Athletic Club | 15 | 5 | 0 | 10 | 14:23 | -9 | 15 |
| 18 | Paysandu PA | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 11:17 | -6 | 15 |
| 19 | Volta Redonda | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 7:14 | -7 | 14 |
| 20 | Amazonas | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 12:20 | -8 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
Which TV channels are streaming of Grêmio Novorizontino - Ferroviária?
It is being streamed on channel
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
