Result
3:6
25/09/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Division Profesional - Round 22
- Referee: Mamani R. (Bol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bolivia | Futbol Canal |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 1.07 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (209/296) | 66% (143/218) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 1.07 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.70 | 3.05 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (209/296) | 66% (143/218) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (25/65) | 21% (11/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (39/74) | 53% (38/72) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (5/17) | 25% (1/4) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 0.52 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 90% (9/10) | 60% (6/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.05 | 2.70 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -2.95 | -0.30 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 18', Zeballos S. ↓, Vaca L. ↑,
- 23', 1 - 0, Gustavo Oliveira ⚽,
- 26', 1 - 1, Peredo G. ⚽, Barco C. (A),
- 39', 1 - 2, Peredo G. ⚽, Barco C. (A),
- 44', 2 - 2, Ali L. ⚽,
- 45+1', Robles D. 🟨,
- 45+3', Ali L. 🟨,
- 45+4', Villegas Y. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 4)
- 48', 3 - 2, Vallejos Y. ⚽, Ali L. (A),
- 54', Anez C. 🟨,
- 57', 3 - 3, Masskooni N. ⚽, Peredo G. (A),
- 58', Vaca L. 🟨,
- 63', Cuellar J. 🟨,
- 67', Vaca L. ↓, Bravo Adan A. F. ↑,
- 67', Villegas Y. ↓, Prieto J. ↑,
- 67', Chavez T. ↓, Da Silva D. ↑,
- 67', Neto Acara ↓, Gil S. ↑,
- 72', Moreno A. 🟨,
- 80', Ali L. ↓, Vila L. ↑,
- 80', Ali Gutierrez J. D. ↓, Castedo ↑,
- 82', Prieto J. 🟨,
- 83', 3 - 4, Anez C. ⚽,
- 86', 3 - 5, Peredo G. ⚽, Barco C. (A),
- 87', Peredo G. 🟨,
- 88', Vila J. 🟨,
- 90', Moreno A. ↓, Parada J. ↑,
- 90', Peredo G. ↓, Sanchez H. ↑,
- 90', Sanchez H. 🟨,
- 90+1', 3 - 6, Parada J. ⚽, Barco C. (A),
Chances of winning
Real Oruro
55.2% | Draw
22.9% | Guabirá
22% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Oruro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)Guabirá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Oruro than the current prediction. (+4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guabirá than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
Real Oruro - Guabirá Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.71 ↑
(1.53) |
4.06 ↓
(4.2) |
4.1 ↓
(5.16) |
7.4%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Real Oruro - Guabirá?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Real Oruro will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Guabirá will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guabirá: 35.2% – 92%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Guabirá (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 7).
- In recent matches, Real Oruro has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Guabirá is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Real Oruro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Real Oruro is a strong favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Real Oruro won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Real Oruro won against Guabirá?
Real Oruro has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Guabirá won against Real Oruro?
Guabirá has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Real Oruro - Guabirá were as follows:
10.05.2025
Guabirá
-
Real Oruro
3:1
Latest results of Real Oruro
Latest results of Guabirá
Bolivian Division Profesional Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Always Ready | 23 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 66:23 | 43 | 55 |
| 2 | The Strongest | 23 | 17 | 1 | 5 | 62:38 | 24 | 52 |
| 3 | Bolivar | 22 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 54:24 | 30 | 46 |
| 4 | Blooming | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 41:38 | 3 | 37 |
| 5 | Guabira | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 47:44 | 3 | 34 |
| 6 | SA Bulo Bulo | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 43:39 | 4 | 31 |
| 7 | Independiente | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 38:46 | -8 | 30 |
| 8 | GV San Jose | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 30:39 | -9 | 30 |
| 9 | Nacional Potosi | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 37:32 | 5 | 27 |
| 10 | Oriente Petrolero | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 34:43 | -9 | 27 |
| 11 | Tomayapo | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 26:39 | -13 | 26 |
| 12 | Universitario de Vinto | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 28:42 | -14 | 25 |
| 13 | Real Oruro | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 38:50 | -12 | 24 |
| 14 | Academia del Balompie | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 25:40 | -15 | 23 |
| 15 | Wilstermann | 23 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 18:48 | -30 | 12 |
| 16 | Aurora | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 39:41 | -2 | -5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Division Profesional (Relegation)
Relegation
