South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Perth Wildcats – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
111:94
04/03/2026 at 03:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NBL - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaESPN, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
8961
Field goals made
4431
Field goals %
49.44%50.82%
2-point field goals attempts
5832
2-point field goals made
3619
2-point field goals %
62.07%59.38%
3-point field goals attempts
3129
3-point field goals made
812
3-point field goals %
25.81%41.38%
Free throws attempts
1825
Free throws made
1520
Free throws %
83.3%80%
Offensive rebounds
178
Defensive rebounds
2629
Total rebounds
4337
Assists
2622
Blocks
25
Turnovers
517
Steals
123
Personal fouls
1816

Highlights

Chances of winning


South East Melbourne Phoenix
61.8%
Perth Wildcats
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.8% 40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.7% 37.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • South East Melbourne Phoenix has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • Perth Wildcats has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for South East Melbourne Phoenix than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perth Wildcats than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • South East Melbourne Phoenix - Perth Wildcats Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.53
    (1.56)

    2.47
    (2.32)
    6.1%
    (7.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 191.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)
    What is the prediction for South East Melbourne Phoenix - Perth Wildcats?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. South East Melbourne will win (votes: 8 - 80%). Perth will win (votes: 2 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for South East Melbourne: 55.2%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 182.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): South East Melbourne Phoenix will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 99:94.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, South East Melbourne won 2.
    • In recent matches, South East Melbourne has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Perth is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • South East Melbourne will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, South East Melbourne won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 1863:1934. (average 93.2:96.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, South East Melbourne won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 868:852. (average 96.4:94.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between South East Melbourne Phoenix - Perth Wildcats were as follows:
    28.01.2026 Perth Wildcats - South East Melbourne Phoenix 101:93
    10.01.2026 South East Melbourne Phoenix - Perth Wildcats 97:107
    18.12.2025 Perth Wildcats - South East Melbourne Phoenix 76:77
    01.11.2025 South East Melbourne Phoenix - Perth Wildcats 94:89
    11.02.2025 Perth Wildcats - South East Melbourne Phoenix 122:105
    Latest results of Perth Wildcats
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Sydney (1)Bye
    3ByePerth (4)
    4Melbourne United (5)Tasmania JackJumpers (6)82 : 68
    5Adelaide (2)Bye
    7South East Melbourne (3)Perth (4)111 : 94

    Quarter-finals
    1Sydney (1)Bye
    2Perth (4)Melbourne United (5)95 : 77
    3Adelaide (2)Bye
    4South East Melbourne (3)Bye

    Semi-finals
    1Sydney (1)Perth (4)2 : 0
    2Adelaide (2)South East Melbourne (3)2 : 1

    Final
    1Sydney (1)Adelaide (2)