Philadelphia Union vs Indy Eleven – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1 penalties
07/05/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • US Open Cup - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.461.14
Ball Possession
67%33%
Total shots
3312
Shots on target
114
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
83
Passes
80% (561/699)64% (231/361)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
2.461.14
xG on target (xGOT)
2.011.45
Total shots
3312
Shots on target
114
Shots off target
116
Blocked Shots
112
Shots inside the Box
156
Shots outside the Box
186
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
83
Touches in opposition box
4113
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
53
Free Kicks
1815
Passes
80% (561/699)64% (231/361)
Long passes
62% (45/73)37% (33/90)
Passes in final third
71% (201/282)46% (50/108)
Crosses
21% (8/39)22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
2.400.20
Throw-ins
3828
Fouls
1518
Tackles
90% (9/10)100% (17/17)
Duels won
5244
Clearances
1339
Interceptions
1020
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
310
xGOT faced
1.452.01
Goals prevented
0.451.01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Bedoya A. , Mbaizo O. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Glesnes J. , Harriel N. ,
  • 48', 1 - 1, Amoh E. , Foster M. (A),
  • 55', Vazquez D. 🟨,
  • 57', Damiani B. , Baribo T. ,
  • 57', Bueno J. , Lukic J. ,
  • 57', Vazquez D. , Wagner K. ,
  • 69', Murphy J. 🟨,
  • 73', Amoh E. , Williams R. ,
  • 73', Foster M. , Collier E. ,
  • 81', Mbaizo O. , Vassilev I. ,
  • 88', Makhanya O. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Ofeimu B. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Stanley A. 🟨,
  • Extra Time (0 - 0)
  • 91', Rendon B. , O'Brien J. ,
  • 91', Murphy J. , Lindley C. ,
  • 91', Uhre M. , Westfield F. ,
  • Penalties (5 - 4)
  • 1, Williams R. (Pen),
  • 1, Vassilev I. (Pen),
  • 2, Blake J. (Pen),
  • 2, Baribo T. (Pen),
  • 3, Quinn A. (Pen),
  • 3, Westfield F. (Pen),
  • 4, Lindley C. (Pen),
  • 4, Rafanello J. (Pen),
  • 5, Stanley A. (Pen),
  • 5, Lukic J. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Philadelphia Union
68.5%
Draw
19%
Indy Eleven
12.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.7% 22% 16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.2% 21.5% 15.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Philadelphia Union has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Philadelphia Union's performance.
  • Indy Eleven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Philadelphia Union that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Indy Eleven than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • Philadelphia Union - Indy Eleven Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.35
    (1.47)
    4.81
    (4.14)
    7.56
    (5.58)
    8.2%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • Philadelphia is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Indy's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, Indy has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Philadelphia is the undisputed favorite.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Philadelphia Union
    Latest results of Indy Eleven
    Draw
    2026

    1/64-finals
    1ChattanoogaKalonji2 : 1
    2Tennessee TempoChattanooga Red Wolves1 : 0
    4ByeAtlanta Utd
    5CharlotteBye
    7Charlotte Independ.Ristozi4 : 1
    8CharlestonFlorida Badgers2 : 1
    9Vermont GreenPortland Hearts of Pine1 : 0
    10Westchester SCNY Renegades2 : 0
    12ByeNew York City
    13New York Red BullsBye
    15Steel CityPittsburgh1 : 2
    16Carolina CoreVirginia Dream1 : 2
    17Flint CityForward Madison2 : 0
    18DetroitMichigan Rangers5 : 1
    20ByeChicago Fire
    21St. Louis CityBye
    23San AntonioNew Stars6 : 0
    24Little Rock RangersFC Tulsa2 : 4
    25LexingtonFlower City Union9 : 0
    26Louisville CitySouthern Indiana2 : 0
    28ByeAustin FC
    29Houston DynamoBye
    31New MexicoCruizers3 : 2
    32Laredo HeatEl Paso0 : 2
    33Colorado SpringsAzteca3 : 0
    34VenturaSpokane Velocity1 : 2
    36ByeSporting Kansas City
    37Colorado RapidsBye
    39Indy ElevenMenace3 : 0
    40BOHFS St. LouisUnion Omaha0 : 8
    41AV AltaValley 559 FC0 : 1
    42Sacramento RepublicEl Farolito2 : 0
    44ByeMinnesota United
    45San Jose EarthquakesBye
    47Orange County SCLaguna United3 : 0
    48Phoenix RisingSan Ramon4 : 0
    49FC NaplesRed Force3 : 0
    50TormentaAmerica CFL Spurs (WO.)
    52ByeOrlando City
    53New England RevolutionBye
    55Rhode IslandFaialense4 : 0
    56MotownHartford Athletic0 : 2
    57Richmond KickersNorthern Virginia2 : 0
    58West Chester UtdLoudoun1 : 2
    60ByeColumbus Crew
    61DC UnitedBye
    63Asheville CityGreenville3 : 1
    64VistulaOne Knoxville1 : 3

    1/32-finals
    1ChattanoogaTennessee Tempo1 : 0
    2ByeAtlanta Utd
    3CharlotteBye
    4Charlotte Independ.Charleston3 : 2
    5Vermont GreenWestchester SC0 : 1
    6ByeNew York City
    7New York Red BullsBye
    8PittsburghVirginia Dream2 : 0
    9Flint CityDetroit0 : 1
    10ByeChicago Fire
    11St. Louis CityBye
    12San AntonioFC Tulsa0 : 1
    13LexingtonLouisville City0 : 2
    14ByeAustin FC
    15Houston DynamoBye
    16New MexicoEl Paso0 : 4
    17Colorado SpringsSpokane Velocity2 : 1
    18ByeSporting Kansas City
    19Colorado RapidsBye
    20Indy ElevenUnion Omaha1 : 2
    21Valley 559 FCSacramento Republic0 : 4
    22ByeMinnesota United
    23San Jose EarthquakesBye
    24Orange County SCPhoenix Rising1 : 2
    25FC NaplesAmerica CFL Spurs3 : 0
    26ByeOrlando City
    27New England RevolutionBye
    28Rhode IslandHartford Athletic2 : 0
    29Richmond KickersLoudoun1 : 0
    30ByeColumbus Crew
    31DC UnitedBye
    32Asheville CityOne Knoxville1 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1ChattanoogaAtlanta Utd
    2CharlotteCharlotte Independ.
    3Westchester SCNew York City
    4New York Red BullsPittsburgh
    5DetroitChicago Fire
    6St. Louis CityFC Tulsa
    7Louisville CityAustin FC
    8Houston DynamoEl Paso
    9Colorado SpringsSporting Kansas City
    10Colorado RapidsUnion Omaha
    11Sacramento RepublicMinnesota United
    12San Jose EarthquakesPhoenix Rising
    13FC NaplesOrlando City
    14New England RevolutionRhode Island
    15Richmond KickersColumbus Crew
    16DC UnitedOne Knoxville

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16