Result
1:2
29/04/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 7
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Chile | Zapping Sports |
 Ecuador | Zapping, Zapping Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 12', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 59', 0 - 2, ⚽,
- 90+3', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
El Nacional
15.2% | Draw
22.4% | Vinotinto
62.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
El Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that El Nacional's form might have worsened.Vinotinto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vinotinto's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Nacional than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for El Nacional, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vinotinto than the current prediction. (-11.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vinotinto, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
El Nacional - Vinotinto Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.93 ↑
(4.33) |
4.03 ↑
(3.28) |
1.45 ↓
(1.8) |
10.8%
(9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for El Nacional - Vinotinto?
Users Predictions:
Vinotinto will win
(6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Serie B (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion Group: )).
- El Nacional has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Vinotinto has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Vinotinto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Vinotinto is considered a favorite.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, El Nacional won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, El Nacional won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has El Nacional won against Vinotinto?
El Nacional has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vinotinto won against El Nacional?
Vinotinto has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between El Nacional - Vinotinto were as follows:
29.08.2025
Vinotinto
-
El Nacional
0:1
12.05.2025
El Nacional
-
Vinotinto
2:1
Latest results of El Nacional
Latest results of Vinotinto
Ecuadorian Serie B Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Nueve de Octubre | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 16 |
| 2 | Ind. Juniors | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11:8 | 3 | 15 |
| 3 | Atletico FC | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 9:6 | 3 | 14 |
| 4 | Cuenca Juniors | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 13 |
| 5 | Vinotinto | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:6 | 4 | 12 |
| 6 | San Antonio | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11:8 | 3 | 10 |
| 7 | Dep. Santo Domingo | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 9 |
| 8 | LDU Portoviejo | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6:12 | -6 | 7 |
| 9 | Gualaceo | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 6:4 | 2 | 6 |
| 10 | Cumbaya | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 6 |
| 11 | 22 de Julio | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 2 |
| 12 | EL Nacional | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6:13 | -7 | -1 |
Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion Group: )
Serie B (Relegation Group: )
