Result
24/08/2025 at 16:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Comerciantes Belén
46% | Draw
26.4% | Unión Comercio
27.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Comerciantes Belén has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)Unión Comercio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Comerciantes Belén than the current prediction. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Comercio than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Comerciantes Belén - Unión Comercio Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.97 ↑
(1.93) |
3.44 ↓
(3.6) |
3.29 ↑
(3.27) |
10.3%
(10.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Comerciantes is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Unión Comercio is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Unión Comercio may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Comerciantes is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Comerciantes won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Comerciantes won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Comerciantes Belén won against Unión Comercio?
Comerciantes Belén has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Unión Comercio won against Comerciantes Belén?
Unión Comercio has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Comerciantes Belén - Unión Comercio were as follows:
20.07.2025
Unión Comercio
-
Comerciantes Belén
2:0
29.06.2025
Comerciantes Belén
-
Unión Comercio
2:1
11.05.2025
Unión Comercio
-
Comerciantes Belén
2:1
Latest results of Comerciantes Belén
Latest results of Unión Comercio
Peruvian Liga 2 Table
Promotion GroupGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Moquegua | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 8 |
| 2 | Carlos Mannucci | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Tacna Heroica | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 7 |
| 4 | Cesar Vallejo | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 5 | FC Cajamarca | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 4 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Union Comercio | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:1 | 9 | 12 |
| 2 | Comerciantes | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Santos | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 6 |
| 4 | San Marcos | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:7 | -5 | 5 |
| 5 | ADA Jaen | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
