Result
4:0
06/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (4 - 0)
- 26', 1 - 0, Marquinhos Brazion ⚽,
- 33', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 42', 3 - 0, ⚽,
- 45', 4 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Lagarto
58.1% | Draw
25.3% | Penedense
16.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lagarto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lagarto's form might have worsened.Penedense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Penedense's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lagarto than the current prediction. (-14.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lagarto that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penedense than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Lagarto - Penedense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.56 ↑
(1.3) |
3.58 ↓
(4.6) |
5.47 ↓
(8) |
10.3%
(11.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Lagarto - Penedense?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Lagarto will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Penedense will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lagarto: 45% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lagarto will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 5 and 8).
- Recent performances by Lagarto have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Penedense has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Lagarto is the clear favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lagarto won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Lagarto won against Penedense?
Lagarto has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Penedense won against Lagarto?
Penedense has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lagarto - Penedense were as follows:
10.05.2025
Penedense
-
Lagarto
0:1
Latest results of Lagarto
Latest results of Penedense
Brazilian Serie D Table
2025Group 1 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Manauara | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 22:7 | 15 | 23 |
| 2 | Tuna Luso | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 19:7 | 12 | 21 |
| 3 | Independencia | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:13 | 2 | 18 |
| 4 | Manaus | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15:13 | 2 | 16 |
| 5 | Aguia De Maraba | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14:9 | 5 | 15 |
| 6 | Trem | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 20:19 | 1 | 15 |
| 7 | GAS | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13:19 | -6 | 11 |
| 8 | Humaita | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10:41 | -31 | 1 |
Group 2 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | AE Altos ✔ | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 18:10 | 8 | 23 |
| 2 | Imperatriz | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 18 |
| 3 | Sampaio Correa | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12:8 | 4 | 16 |
| 4 | Parnahyba | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 13 |
| 5 | Maranhao | 11 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 14:11 | 3 | 13 |
| 6 | Tocantinopolis | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 10:14 | -4 | 12 |
| 7 | Iguatu | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11:13 | -2 | 11 |
| 8 | Maracana | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10:17 | -7 | 9 |
Group 3 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Santa Cruz ✔ | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 16:7 | 9 | 23 |
| 2 | Central SC ✔ | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 14:6 | 8 | 23 |
| 3 | America RN | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 17:8 | 9 | 20 |
| 4 | Ferroviario | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13:16 | -3 | 14 |
| 5 | Santa Cruz de Natal | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 9:16 | -7 | 13 |
| 6 | Sousa | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9:10 | -1 | 11 |
| 7 | Horizonte | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 11 |
| 8 | Treze PB | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 5:15 | -10 | 10 |
Group 4 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | ASA ✔ | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 23:8 | 15 | 24 |
| 2 | Sergipe | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14:8 | 6 | 18 |
| 3 | Juazeirense | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 18 |
| 4 | Lagarto | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 16:14 | 2 | 17 |
| 5 | Jequie | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15:14 | 1 | 15 |
| 6 | Uniao Carmolandense | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11:15 | -4 | 12 |
| 7 | Barcelona | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9:16 | -7 | 11 |
| 8 | SC Penedense | 11 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 3:15 | -12 | 4 |
Group 5 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Aparecidense ✔ | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 28:10 | 18 | 25 |
| 2 | Ceilandia ✔ | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 17:10 | 7 | 23 |
| 3 | Luverdense | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 20 |
| 4 | Mixto | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 19:13 | 6 | 19 |
| 5 | Capital | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 8:8 | 0 | 13 |
| 6 | Goiania | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8:17 | -9 | 8 |
| 7 | Goianesia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 9:17 | -8 | 7 |
| 8 | Porto Velho | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7:22 | -15 | 6 |
Group 6 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Portuguesa | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 16:12 | 4 | 21 |
| 2 | Rio Branco ES | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13:9 | 4 | 17 |
| 3 | Marica | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 11:9 | 2 | 16 |
| 4 | Agua Santa | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15:15 | 0 | 15 |
| 5 | Pouso Alegre | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11:13 | -2 | 14 |
| 6 | Nova Iguacu | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 14 |
| 7 | Porto Vitoria | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 13 |
| 8 | Boavista | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9:16 | -7 | 9 |
Group 7 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter de Limeira ✔ | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 17:6 | 11 | 24 |
| 2 | Cianorte | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 16 |
| 3 | Uberlandia | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19:14 | 5 | 15 |
| 4 | Goiatuba | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19:16 | 3 | 15 |
| 5 | Cascavel | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 11:13 | -2 | 14 |
| 6 | Monte Azul | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 10:14 | -4 | 11 |
| 7 | Operario MS | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10:18 | -8 | 10 |
| 8 | Itabirito | 11 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 9:16 | -7 | 10 |
Group 8 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Barra FC ✔ | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18:8 | 10 | 23 |
| 2 | Joinville | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 10:7 | 3 | 20 |
| 3 | EC Sao Jose | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 17:10 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | Marcilio Dias | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14:13 | 1 | 16 |
| 5 | Sao Luiz | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 9:16 | -7 | 12 |
| 6 | Guarany de Bage | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 6:11 | -5 | 12 |
| 7 | Azuriz | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 6:10 | -4 | 11 |
| 8 | Brasil de Pelotas | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 6:11 | -5 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
AE Altos is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
Santa Cruz is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
Central SC is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
ASA is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
Aparecidense is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
Ceilandia is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
Inter de Limeira is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
Barra FC is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
Which TV channels are streaming of Lagarto - Penedense?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
