Result
1:4
29/03/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- FNL - Round 26
- Referee: Cheremnykh M. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Belarus | Sport TV |
Russia | MATCH! Planeta, Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 17', Arbuzov Y. ↓, Rodionov I. ↑,
- 31', Pliev Z. 🟨,
- 35', Konovalov I. 🟨,
- 40', 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 4)
- 46', Kukharchuk I. ↓, Antonov A. ↑,
- 57', 0 - 1, Eldarushev A. ⚽,
- 62', Suslov K. ↓, Pomeshkin K. ↑,
- 66', 0 - 2, Eldarushev A. ⚽,
- 67', Safronov I. ↓, Simonyan A. ↑,
- 68', Eldarushev A. ↓, Aliev S. ↑,
- 69', Nikolaev O. ↓, Chistyakov N. ↑,
- 70', Konovalov I. ↓, Magomedov Z. ↑,
- 77', 1 - 2, Zhilkin G. ⚽,
- 77', 1 - 3, Aliev S. ⚽,
- 79', Zhigulev I. ↓, Sutugin I. ↑,
- 85', Morozov K. 🟨,
- 85', Kaynov M. ↓, Dadic T. ↑,
- 90+1', 🟨,
- 90+3', 1 - 4, Aliev S. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Chernomorets Novorossiysk 30.7% | Draw 32% | Rotor 37.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chernomorets Novorossiysk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)Rotor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chernomorets Novorossiysk than the current prediction. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rotor than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Rotor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.12 ↓ (3.61) |
3 ↑ (2.73) |
2.56 ↑ (2.48) |
4.5% (4.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Rotor?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Chernomorets will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH 0 - Chernomorets (2.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Chernomorets (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chernomorets won 1.
- Chernomorets is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Rotor's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Chernomorets won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:12. (average 0.6:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Chernomorets won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.6:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Chernomorets Novorossiysk won against Rotor?
Chernomorets Novorossiysk has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rotor won against Chernomorets Novorossiysk?
Rotor has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Rotor were as follows:
12.10.2025
Rotor
-
Chernomorets Novorossiysk
2:0
13.04.2025
Chernomorets Novorossiysk
-
Rotor
1:1
20.09.2024
Rotor
-
Chernomorets Novorossiysk
1:2
21.05.2023
Rotor
-
Chernomorets Novorossiysk
2:1
25.03.2023
Rotor
-
Chernomorets Novorossiysk
0:0
Latest results of Chernomorets Novorossiysk
Russian FNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Fakel Voronezh | 27 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 34:13 | 21 | 59 |
| 2 | Rodina Moscow | 27 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 45:23 | 22 | 52 |
| 3 | Ural | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 41:27 | 14 | 49 |
| 4 | R. Volgograd | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 36:22 | 14 | 45 |
| 5 | S. Kostroma | 28 | 11 | 11 | 6 | 40:33 | 7 | 44 |
| 6 | Kamaz | 28 | 9 | 13 | 6 | 41:28 | 13 | 40 |
| 7 | Chelyabinsk | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 37:31 | 6 | 39 |
| 8 | Yenisey | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 27:32 | -5 | 37 |
| 9 | Neftekhimik | 28 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 31:32 | -1 | 36 |
| 10 | Arsenal Tula | 28 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 38:34 | 4 | 36 |
| 11 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 28 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 23:23 | 0 | 36 |
| 12 | Torpedo Moscow | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 29:34 | -5 | 35 |
| 13 | SKA Khabarovsk | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 31:37 | -6 | 35 |
| 14 | Ulyanovsk | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 31:41 | -10 | 31 |
| 15 | Chernomorets Novorossijsk | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 32:39 | -7 | 29 |
| 16 | Ufa | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 29:35 | -6 | 28 |
| 17 | FK Chayka | 28 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 26:63 | -37 | 19 |
| 18 | Saratov | 28 | 2 | 10 | 16 | 12:36 | -24 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )
Relegation