Result
 
                    5:1
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        29/09/2025 at  20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Division Profesional - Round 23
 
                                                - Referee: Aleman J. (Bol)
 
                                                - Where to Watch on TV: 
 
                                                
                    
                    
                    
                    
 |  | 
|---|
 Bolivia | Futbol Canal | 
                      
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
 |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 1.73 | 0.78 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 50% | 50% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 19 | 12 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 7 | 4 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 2 | 1 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 2 | 9 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 76% (254/335) | 76% (261/342) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 4 | 2 | 
| Red Cards | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 1.73 | 0.78 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 2.70 | 0.06 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 19 | 12 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 7 | 4 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 7 | 1 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 5 | 7 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 8 | 6 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 11 | 6 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Headed Goals | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 2 | 1 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 2 | 9 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 12 | 18 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 1 | 1 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 11 | 20 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 76% (254/335) | 76% (261/342) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 48% (27/56) | 52% (33/63) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 56% (60/108) | 54% (41/76) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 33% (5/15) | 20% (2/10) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 0.51 | 0.68 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 11 | 21 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 20 | 11 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 78% (7/9) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 34 | 48 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 17 | 17 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 12 | 9 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 2 | 2 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 0.06 | 2.70 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| -0.94 | -2.30 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
 - 10', 0 - 1, Rea Mendieta G. ⚽, Galindo M. (A), 
 - 16', Pereira F. 🟨, 
 - 18', 1 - 1, Mina K. ⚽, Barco C. (A), 
 - 20', Taborga E. 🟨, 
 - 21', 2 - 1, Portillo M. ⚽, Rafinha (A), 
 - 24', Portillo M. 🟨, 
 - 25', Mina K. 🟨, 
 - 2nd Half (3 - 0)
 - 46', Mina K. ↓, Neto Acara ↑, 
 - 46', Peredo G. ↓, Moreno A. ↑, 
 - 53', Gutierrez D. 🟥, 
 - 54', Rea Mendieta G. 🟨, 
 - 62', Bejarano A. ↓, Terrazas R. ↑, 
 - 64', Barco C. ↓, Sanchez H. ↑, 
 - 66', 3 - 1, Neto Acara ⚽, Gil S. (A), 
 - 69', 4 - 1, Rafinha ⚽, 
 - 70', Siles O. ↓, Salazar A. ↑, 
 - 70', Loza P. ↓, Flores M. ↑, 
 - 70', Rea Mendieta G. ↓, Vedia J. ↑, 
 - 76', Rafinha 🟨, 
 - 76', Rafinha ↓, Rodriguez G. ↑, 
 - 76', Gil S. ↓, Vargas L. ↑, 
 - 77', Galindo M. ↓, Quiroga M. ↑, 
 - 90', Thiago Ribeiro 🟨, 
 - 90+4', 5 - 1, Sanchez H. ⚽, 
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 Guabirá  64.7% | Draw  19.5% | ABB  15.8% | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Guabirá - ABB Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			    | 
			   1 | 
			   X | 
			   2 | 
                           Marga | 
			    | 
			
			
			
			   Avarage Now (Initially) | 
			   1.51 ↑ (1.49) | 
			   4.75 ↑ (4.33) | 
			   6.02 ↑ (5) | 
			   3.8% (10.2%) |  | 
                               
			
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Guabirá - ABB?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                                            
                                            Users Predictions: 
                                            
                                            
                                            7 users predict this event. Guabirá will win (votes: 7 - 100%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Guabirá (votes: 1 - 100%).                                 The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: ) and 13).
 - Guabirá is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
 - ABB has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
 - ABB may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
 - Recently, ABB has had a series of home games.
  - In this match, Guabirá is a strong favorite.
 - We predict that Guabirá will win today's game, with odds of 1.49.
 - In the last 1 head-to-head match, Guabirá won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.                        
 
                      
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Guabirá won against ABB?
                    
                    
                        
                            Guabirá has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has ABB won against Guabirá?
                    
                    
                        
                             ABB has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Guabirá - ABB were as follows:
                                                        
                                16.05.2025 
                                ABB 
                                - 
                                Guabirá 
                                1:1
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Guabirá                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Bolivian Division Profesional Table
2025 |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Always Ready | 23 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 66:23 | 43 | 55 | 
| 2 | The Strongest | 24 | 18 | 1 | 5 | 64:39 | 25 | 55 | 
| 3 | Bolivar | 23 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 57:24 | 33 | 49 | 
| 4 | Blooming | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 41:38 | 3 | 37 | 
| 5 | Guabira | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 47:48 | -1 | 34 | 
| 6 | SA Bulo Bulo | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 43:39 | 4 | 31 | 
| 7 | GV San Jose | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 31:40 | -9 | 31 | 
| 8 | Oriente Petrolero | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 38:43 | -5 | 30 | 
| 9 | Independiente | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 38:46 | -8 | 30 | 
| 10 | Tomayapo | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 32:40 | -8 | 29 | 
| 11 | Nacional Potosi | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 37:32 | 5 | 27 | 
| 12 | Real Oruro | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 39:51 | -12 | 25 | 
| 13 | Universitario de Vinto | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 28:45 | -17 | 25 | 
| 14 | Academia del Balompie | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 26:42 | -16 | 23 | 
| 15 | Wilstermann | 24 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 19:54 | -35 | 12 | 
| 16 | Aurora | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 39:41 | -2 | -5 | 
      Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
      Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
      Division Profesional (Relegation)
      Relegation