Hubei Istar vs Jiangxi Lushan – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
26/07/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Yi League - Round 21

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.653.74
Ball Possession
33%67%
Total shots
920
Shots on target
39
Big Chances
17
Corner Kicks
26
Passes
74% (195/264)86% (456/528)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.653.74
xG on target (xGOT)
0.442.49
Total shots
920
Shots on target
39
Shots off target
56
Blocked Shots
15
Shots inside the Box
716
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
12
Big Chances
17
Corner Kicks
26
Touches in opposition box
1737
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1121
Passes
74% (195/264)86% (456/528)
Long passes
33% (22/66)47% (27/57)
Passes in final third
61% (46/75)68% (113/166)
Crosses
50% (5/10)11% (3/28)
Expected assists (xA)
0.901.29
Throw-ins
2129
Fouls
2111
Tackles
86% (12/14)80% (4/5)
Duels won
3738
Clearances
4119
Interceptions
76
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
82
xGOT faced
2.490.44
Goals prevented
1.49-0.56

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 17', 1 - 0, Jiang L. , Wang Z. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Abdukerim Qaharman , Qurban W. ,
  • 46', Wang Haisheng , Li Jiahao ,
  • 46', Jiang L. , Cui Shengcheng ,
  • 57', Wang Z. , Sun W. ,
  • 63', Zhou Y. , Huang W. ,
  • 63', Xiong J. , Wang Z. ,
  • 64', Song Yi , Liu G. ,
  • 73', Abdusalam S. , Tang Zhiheng ,
  • 75', Huang Jiale , Zhang Jinliang ,
  • 80', Yang B. , Zhong Minghzi ,
  • 86', Pan Yuchen , Xu Lei ,
  • 90+8', 1 - 1, Sun Yue (Pen),

Chances of winning


Hubei Istar
20.6%
Draw
26.7%
Jiangxi Lushan
52.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
17.9% 27.4% 54.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.6% 27% 55.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hubei Istar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • Jiangxi Lushan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hubei Istar than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jiangxi Lushan than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • Hubei Istar - Jiangxi Lushan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.45
    (5.2)
    3.42
    (3.4)
    1.74
    (1.7)
    9.3%
    (7.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Hubei Istar - Jiangxi Lushan?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Jiangxi Lushan (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH 0, 1st Half - Hubei Istar (2.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Jiangxi Lushan will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Hubei Istar (votes: 1 - 50%). Jiangxi Lushan (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 in the zone Yi League (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Yi League (Relegation Group: )).
    • Hubei Istar is Yi League (Relegation Group )
    • Hubei Istar is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Jiangxi Lushan is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • In this match, Jiangxi Lushan is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Hubei Istar won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.7:1.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Hubei Istar won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hubei Istar - Jiangxi Lushan were as follows:
    14.05.2025 Jiangxi Lushan - Hubei Istar 2:4
    Latest results of Hubei Istar
    Latest results of Jiangxi Lushan
    Chinese Yi League Table
    2026

    North
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Shanghai Port B431010:2810
    2Taian Tiankuang43017:439
    3Dalian Kewei42202:028
    4Shandong Taishan B32016:426
    5Dalian Yingbo B41305:416
    6Lanzhou Longyuan31202:115
    7Changchun Xidu41212:5-35
    8Nantong Haimen41125:324
    9Shanxi Chongde Ronghai41123:304
    10Qingdao Red Lions40314:5-13
    11Shanghai Second40135:13-81
    12Beijing Technology40042:9-70


    South
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Guangzhou Dandelion43016:339
    2Hubei Istar42116:517
    3Xiamen Feilu413010:826
    4Chengdu Rongcheng B32014:316
    5Guizhou Guiyang42023:5-26
    6Jiangxi Lushan41216:515
    7Hangzhou Linping30303:303
    8Wuhan Three Towns B30303:303
    9Shenzhen40315:7-23
    10Ganzhou Ruishi40313:4-13
    11Wenzhou Professional30212:3-12
    12Guangdong Mingtu40224:6-22

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