BATE Borisov vs ML Vitebsk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Belarusian Vysshaya Liga BATE Borisov - ML Vitebsk
Result
1:0
03/10/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Vysshaya Liga - Round 24
  • Referee: Dmitriev D. (Blr)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
belarusBelarusBelarus 5

Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
913
Shots on target
37
Corner Kicks
44
Yellow Cards
30
Total shots
913
Shots on target
37
Shots off target
66
Corner Kicks
44
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1324
Throw-ins
1322
Fouls
2213

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 25', Rashchenya I. 🟨,
  • 29', Charles Y. , Apanasevich K. ,
  • 29', Kargbo I. , Yatskevich V. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Svirepa A. , Telesh M. ,
  • 46', Yatskevich V. 🟨,
  • 71', Juninho , Eldarushev A. ,
  • 71', Nikiforenko O. , Mazurich A. ,
  • 73', 1 - 0, Yatskevich V. , Apanasevich K. (A),
  • 82', Sotnikov V. , Rusenchik V. ,
  • 86', Rusakov E. , Zhulpa D. ,
  • 90+3', 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


BATE Borisov
23.1%
Draw
25.7%
ML Vitebsk
51.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18.6% 29% 52.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.6% 22.9% 41.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • BATE Borisov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • ML Vitebsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for BATE Borisov than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for ML Vitebsk than the current prediction. (-9.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for ML Vitebsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • BATE Borisov - ML Vitebsk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.01
    (5)
    3.6
    (3.2)
    1.81
    (1.77)
    8%
    (7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for BATE Borisov - ML Vitebsk?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. ML Vitebsk (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: ML Vitebsk will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.58%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
    • Recent performances by BATE have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • ML Vitebsk has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, ML Vitebsk is the team to beat.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, BATE won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between BATE Borisov - ML Vitebsk were as follows:
    18.05.2025 ML Vitebsk - BATE Borisov 2:1
    Latest results of BATE Borisov
    Latest results of ML Vitebsk
    27.09.2025 ML Vitebsk - Slavia Mozyr 2:3
    20.09.2025 Neman Grodno - ML Vitebsk 3:1
    13.09.2025 ML Vitebsk - Torpedo-BelAZ 0:1
    30.08.2025 Smorgon - ML Vitebsk 0:1
    Belarusian Vysshaya Liga Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1ML Vitebsk24164438:152352
    2Din. Minsk23153542:241848
    3Slavia Mozyr23135538:231544
    4Zhodino23118437:231441
    5Dynamo Brest24125736:231341
    6FC Minsk24125738:35341
    7Isloch23109440:221839
    8Neman21102930:21932
    9BATE24861029:39-1030
    10FC Gomel23851024:27-329
    11Vitebsk24831332:36-427
    12Arsenal Dzerzhinsk23511724:29-526
    13Naftan24741331:42-1125
    14Smorgon23551317:33-1620
    15Slutsk22341511:36-2513
    16Molodechno24312016:55-3910

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Pershaya Liga