Result
2:1
25/02/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.69 | 1.74 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 28 | 18 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 20 | 4 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 7.14% (2/28) | 5.56% (1/18) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 17 | 26 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 94.44% (17/18) | 92.86% (26/28) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 50% (2/4) | 0% (0/1) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (1/1) | 50% (2/4) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 28 | 12 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 70 | 30 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 0)
- 09:16, Hodass B. (2 min),
- 09:46, (2 min),
- 10:32, 1 - 0, Saarela A. (G), Ruohomaa M. (A), Stenqvist J. (A2)
- 2nd Period (1 - 0)
- 08:48, Saarela A. (2 min),
- 13:18, Kurri A. (2 min),
- 15:19, Heikkinen L. (2 min),
- 17:15, 2 - 0, Saarela A. (G), Ruohomaa M. (A), Stenqvist J. (A2)
- 3rd Period (0 - 1)
- 02:45, 2 - 1, Heikkinen L. (G), Tiihonen L. (A), Baggstrom R. (A2)
Chances of winning
Lukko
71.1% | Draw
16.6% | Mikkelin Jukurit
12.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lukko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lukko's performance.Mikkelin Jukurit has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lukko than the current prediction. (-10.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lukko that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mikkelin Jukurit than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Lukko - Mikkelin Jukurit Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.32 ↓
(1.42) |
5.49 ↑
(4.69) |
7.47 ↑
(6.46) |
7.4%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.00
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lukko won 5.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Lukko may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Lukko has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Lukko is the undisputed favorite.
- We predict that Lukko will win today's game, with odds of 1.43.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lukko won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 52:47. (average 2.6:2.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lukko won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:16. (average 2.4:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Lukko won against Mikkelin Jukurit?
Lukko has won 9 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mikkelin Jukurit won against Lukko?
Mikkelin Jukurit has won 6 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lukko - Mikkelin Jukurit were as follows:
05.01.2026
Mikkelin Jukurit
-
Lukko
1:2
28.11.2025
Lukko
-
Mikkelin Jukurit
1:0
14.11.2025
Mikkelin Jukurit
-
Lukko
2:3
19.02.2025
Mikkelin Jukurit
-
Lukko
1:3
11.01.2025
Lukko
-
Mikkelin Jukurit
8:0
Latest results of Mikkelin Jukurit
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara ✔ | 57 | 34 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 214:138 | 113 |
| 2 | SaiPa | 58 | 30 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 197:154 | 109 |
| 3 | KooKoo | 57 | 30 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 201:148 | 106 |
| 4 | JYP | 57 | 25 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 191:164 | 103 |
| 5 | Ilves | 57 | 27 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 175:144 | 101 |
| 6 | Lukko | 57 | 27 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 173:145 | 101 |
| 7 | KalPa | 58 | 27 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 174:170 | 100 |
| 8 | Assat ✔ | 57 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 23 | 155:156 | 88 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo ✔ | 58 | 21 | 5 | 11 | 21 | 147:155 | 84 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 57 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 23 | 130:149 | 80 |
| 11 | IFK Helsinki | 57 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 137:178 | 79 |
| 12 | Hameenlinna | 57 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 138:158 | 72 |
| 13 | TPS Turku | 57 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 134:162 | 71 |
| 14 | Jukurit | 57 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 127:156 | 64 |
| 15 | Karpat | 57 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 30 | 167:188 | 63 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 58 | 9 | 1 | 11 | 37 | 107:202 | 40 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Tappara is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Assat is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Kiekko-Espoo is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
