Trem vs Independência – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:0
08/04/2026 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Norte - Round 3

Match Stats

Ball possession
57%43%
Total shots
178
Shots on target
142
Corner kicks
65
Total shots
178
Shots on target
142
Shots off target
36
Corner kicks
65

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 17', 1 - 0, ,
  • 24', 2 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 52', 3 - 0, ,
  • 80', 4 - 0, ,

Chances of winning


Trem
52%
Draw
24.7%
Independência
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.1% 27.6% 32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9% 27.1% 31.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Trem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Trem's performance.
  • Independência has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Independência might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trem than the current prediction. (-11.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Trem that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independência than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Independência could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Trem - Independência Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.73
    (2.27)
    3.64
    (3.3)
    3.86
    (2.81)
    11.4%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Trem - Independência?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Trem (2.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Trem will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Trem will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Trem (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, Trem is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Trem won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).
    • Including home match between the teams, Trem won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Trem - Independência were as follows:
    29.06.2025 Independência - Trem 2:2
    21.05.2025 Trem - Independência 1:2
    Latest results of Trem
    04.04.2026 Águia de Marabá - Trem 2:1
    26.03.2026 Nacional AM - Trem 2:1
    16.03.2026 Trem - Ypiranga Clube 5:0
    08.03.2026 Santos AP - Trem 1:1
    Latest results of Independência
    Brazilian Copa Norte Table
    Main

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nacional-AM541014:11313
    2Paysandu PA53028:10-29
    3Guapore52124:6-27
    4Trem520311:1106
    5Independencia51224:8-45
    6GAS510410:15-53


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Aguia De Maraba541012:6613
    2Porto Velho531110:5510
    3Amazonas52129:637
    4Remo52126:607
    5Galvez51049:17-83
    6Monte Roraima50239:15-62

          Promotion ~ Copa Norte (Play Offs: Semi~finals)