Fermana vs Montevarchi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie C Group B Fermana - Montevarchi
28/01/2023 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Fermana
41.6%
Draw
30.6%
Montevarchi
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.9% 28.3% 19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4% 27.5% 19.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fermana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fermana's form might have worsened.
  • Montevarchi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Montevarchi's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fermana than the current prediction. (+11.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fermana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montevarchi than the current prediction. (-8.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Montevarchi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Fermana - Montevarchi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.18
    (1.73)
    2.95
    (3.16)
    3.25
    (4.55)
    10.6%
    (11.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fermana - Montevarchi were as follows:
    24.09.2022 Montevarchi - Fermana 2:2
    Latest results of Fermana
    22.01.2023 Cesena - Fermana 1:1
    15.01.2023 Fermana - Recanatese 0:0
    08.01.2023 Gubbio - Fermana 1:3
    23.12.2022 Fermana - Fiorenzuola 4:2
    17.12.2022 Fermana - Sassari Torres 1:0
    Latest results of Montevarchi
    22.01.2023 Montevarchi - Siena 1:2
    15.01.2023 Montevarchi - Reggiana 1:2
    08.01.2023 Olbia - Montevarchi 2:1
    23.12.2022 Montevarchi - Gubbio 2:1
    17.12.2022 Montevarchi - Rimini 0:1
    Italian Serie C Group B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arezzo980117:61124
    2Ravenna870118:10821
    3Ascoli862015:11420
    4Sambenedettese842212:8414
    5Carpi942312:11114
    6Ternana841311:8313
    7Gubbio93427:7013
    8Campobasso833214:9512
    9Forli84048:7112
    10Pianese83328:7112
    11Juventus U23832314:16-211
    12Guidonia83145:7-210
    13Vis Pesaro81528:808
    14Pineto82249:12-38
    15Pontedera82247:14-78
    16Livorno82154:11-77
    17Torres81255:11-65
    18Bra91268:17-95
    19Perugia80356:13-73
    20Rimini82155:10-5-4

          Promotion ~ Serie B
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
          Serie C ~ Play Out
          Relegation