Result
3:4
30/11/2025 at 08:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 0)
- 16:45, 1 - 0, Ylitalo J. (G), Loponen E. (A),
- 2nd Period (0 - 3)
- 05:40, 1 - 1, Korpela N. (G), Pitkaaho V. (A),
- 08:27, 1 - 2, Koski M. (G), Timonen A. (A), Erbenova M. (A2)
- 19:12, 1 - 3, Ilvonen E. (G), Viitala S. (A), Koski M. (A2)
- 3rd Period (2 - 1)
- 03:29, 1 - 4, Nurmisto V. (G), Korpela N. (A), Sundman F. (A2)
- 06:18, 2 - 4, Waananen S. (G), Kaijankoski A. (A),
- 13:55, 3 - 4, Waananen S. (G), Holopainen S. (A), Kaijankoski A. (A2)
Chances of winning
Kärpat
23.4% | Draw
19.4% | TPS
57.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Kärpat have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.TPS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kärpat than the current prediction. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for TPS than the current prediction. (+6.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that TPS could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Kärpat - TPS Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.83 ↑
(3.83) |
4.62 ↓
(4.68) |
1.57 ↑
(1.56) |
11.5%
(11.6%) | |
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kärpat won 1.
- Kärpat has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- TPS's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- TPS may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, TPS is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kärpat won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 48:55. (average 2.4:2.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kärpat won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 32:23. (average 3.2:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Kärpat won against TPS?
Kärpat has won 4 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has TPS won against Kärpat?
TPS has won 10 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kärpat - TPS were as follows:
11.10.2025
TPS
-
Kärpat
3:1
28.09.2025
Kärpat
-
TPS
5:2
19.01.2025
Kärpat
-
TPS
0:2
21.12.2024
TPS
-
Kärpat
3:1
13.10.2024
Kärpat
-
TPS
0:2
Finnish Liiga Hockey Women Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kiekko-Espoo W ✔ | 31 | 27 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 165:49 | 84 |
| 2 | Hameenlinna W ✔ | 30 | 21 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 135:42 | 70 |
| 3 | IFK Helsinki W ✔ | 31 | 22 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 135:65 | 69 |
| 4 | Kuortane W ✔ | 30 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 85:68 | 54 |
| 5 | Ilves W ✔ | 30 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 149:79 | 53 |
| 6 | TPS W ✔ | 30 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 97:87 | 37 |
| 7 | Karpat W ✔ | 30 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 84:125 | 23 |
| 8 | KalPa W ✔ | 32 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 50:114 | 22 |
| 9 | RoKi W | 32 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 35:306 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Auroraliiga Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Auroraliiga Women (Relegation)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Kiekko-Espoo W is Qualified for Auroraliiga Women (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Hameenlinna W is Qualified for Auroraliiga Women (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
IFK Helsinki W is Qualified for Auroraliiga Women (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Kuortane W is Qualified for Auroraliiga Women (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Ilves W is Qualified for Auroraliiga Women (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
TPS W is Qualified for Auroraliiga Women (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Karpat W is Qualified for Auroraliiga Women (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
KalPa W is Qualified for Auroraliiga Women (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
