Guangxi Lanhang vs Guangdong Mingtu – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
03/08/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Yi League - Round 22

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.502.10
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
717
Shots on target
36
Big Chances
04
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
77% (264/341)79% (250/317)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.502.10
xG on target (xGOT)
0.741.46
Total shots
717
Shots on target
36
Shots off target
18
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
312
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
04
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
2124
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
48
Free Kicks
156
Passes
77% (264/341)79% (250/317)
Long passes
50% (27/54)41% (17/41)
Passes in final third
62% (62/100)64% (64/100)
Crosses
28% (5/18)43% (6/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.500.51
Throw-ins
3029
Fouls
615
Tackles
80% (8/10)70% (16/23)
Duels won
3837
Clearances
2122
Interceptions
76
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
1.460.74
Goals prevented
-0.54-0.26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 15', 0 - 1, He J. ,
  • 40', He J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Luo H. , Wei Feng ,
  • 46', Zhong W. , Zhao C. ,
  • 46', Peng Jiahao , Tang Wenxuan ,
  • 53', Yao H. , Wu Z. ,
  • 54', Shi C. 🟨,
  • 58', Shi C. , Zhao Hanyu ,
  • 59', An Yongjian , Wang S. ,
  • 59', Zhong W. , Zhu X. ,
  • 63', Peng Jiahao , Li T. ,
  • 65', Zong Keyi , Cai W. ,
  • 74', 1 - 1, Wei Feng , Zheng Y. (A),
  • 81', Zheng Y. , Liang Dongyi ,
  • 81', Liu Ziheng , Chen Rijin ,
  • 86', 1 - 2, Zhao C. ,

Chances of winning


Guangxi Lanhang
19%
Draw
25.4%
Guangdong Mingtu
55.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.4% 30% 40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3% 26.5% 35.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Guangxi Lanhang has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guangxi Lanhang's form might have worsened.
  • Guangdong Mingtu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guangdong Mingtu's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangxi Lanhang than the current prediction. (+14.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guangxi Lanhang, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangdong Mingtu than the current prediction. (-19.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guangdong Mingtu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Guangxi Lanhang - Guangdong Mingtu Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.88
    (3.1)
    3.64
    (3.04)
    1.66
    (2.25)
    8%
    (9.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Guangxi Lanhang - Guangdong Mingtu?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH 0, 1st Half - Guangxi Lanhang (3.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Guangdong Mingtu will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Guangdong Mingtu will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Guangxi Lanhang (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Guangdong Mingtu (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 12 in the zone Yi League (Relegation Group: ) and 10 in the zone Yi League (Relegation Group: )).
    • Guangxi Lanhang is Yi League (Relegation Group )
    • Guangdong Mingtu is Yi League (Relegation Group )
    • Guangxi Lanhang is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Guangdong Mingtu has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Guangdong Mingtu is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Guangxi Lanhang won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Guangxi Lanhang - Guangdong Mingtu were as follows:
    25.05.2025 Guangdong Mingtu - Guangxi Lanhang 1:1
    Latest results of Guangxi Lanhang
    Latest results of Guangdong Mingtu
    Chinese Yi League Table
    2026

    North
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Shanghai Port B761016:31319
    2Shandong Taishan B751113:6716
    3Taian Tiankuang73228:6211
    4Dalian Kewei72503:1211
    5Shanxi Chongde Ronghai72236:7-18
    6Dalian Yingbo B71517:8-18
    7Nantong Haimen71428:627
    8Lanzhou Longyuan71423:6-37
    9Changchun Xidu71426:10-47
    10Qingdao Red Lions70526:8-25
    11Shanghai Second71249:17-85
    12Beijing Technology70345:12-73


    South
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Guizhou Guiyang75028:6215
    2Guangzhou Dandelion741210:7313
    3Hubei Istar73318:6212
    4Chengdu Rongcheng B73317:5212
    5Xiamen Feilu724115:13210
    6Jiangxi Lushan72328:629
    7Shenzhen723210:11-19
    8Hangzhou Linping71519:908
    9Ganzhou Ruishi71425:6-17
    10Wenzhou Professional70433:6-34
    11Wuhan Three Towns B70435:9-44
    12Guangdong Mingtu70436:10-44

          Promotion ~ League Two (Promotion Group: )
          League Two (Relegation Group: )