Poland vs Finland, FIFA World Cup – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football FIFA World Cup Poland - Finland
Result
3:1
07/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • World Championship - Qualification
  • Referee: Obrenovic R. (Slo)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, Supersport Action, SuperSport LaLiga
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 3
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
europeEuropeUEFA TV
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, YLE TV2
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceNova Sports 2
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
indiaIndiaVision+
indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision
israelIsraelSport 1
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 4
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 5
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 4
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Action
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP 1, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
portugalPortugalSport TV6
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 4, Sportklub
sloveniaSloveniaSportklub
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFox Soccer Plus, Fox Sports 2, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.840.29
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
145
Shots on target
62
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
82
Passes
80% (313/390)85% (416/491)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.840.29
xG on target (xGOT)
1.780.94
Total shots
145
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
42
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
91
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
82
Touches in opposition box
307
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1110
Passes
80% (313/390)85% (416/491)
Long passes
53% (31/59)43% (23/53)
Passes in final third
71% (77/108)64% (66/103)
Crosses
18% (4/22)8% (1/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.100.18
Throw-ins
1425
Fouls
1111
Tackles
94% (15/16)64% (7/11)
Duels won
4832
Clearances
2928
Interceptions
128
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
11
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.941.78
Goals prevented
-0.06-1.22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 27', 1 - 0, Cash M. , Kaminski J. (A),
  • 35', Tenho M. , Ivanov R. ,
  • 45+2', 2 - 0, Lewandowski R. , Zielinski P. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 47', Cash M. , Wszolek P. ,
  • 55', 3 - 0, Kaminski J. , Lewandowski R. (A),
  • 64', Peltola M. , Stahl A. ,
  • 64', Antman O. , Kallman B. ,
  • 64', Markhiev A. , Kamara G. ,
  • 67', Lewandowski R. , Swiderski K. ,
  • 67', Slisz B. , Kapustka B. ,
  • 67', Zalewski N. , Grosicki K. ,
  • 74', Wisniewski P. 🟨,
  • 80', Kallman B. 🟨,
  • 80', Kaminski J. , Buksa A. ,
  • 80', Uronen J. , Vaananen S. ,
  • 88', 3 - 1, Kallman B. ,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Poland
63.8%
Draw
22.2%
Finland
14%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.4% 23.5% 16.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Poland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • Finland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • Poland - Finland Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.51
    (1.63)
    4.25
    (4.18)
    6.72
    (6.12)
    4.8%
    (1.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Poland - Finland?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Poland (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Poland will win (87 of 99 users predict this - 87.88%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 81.45%94.31%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Poland will win (20 of 25 users predict this - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, Poland is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Poland won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:3. (average 2.8:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Poland - Finland were as follows:
    10.06.2025 Finland - Poland 2:1
    Latest results of Poland
    04.09.2025 Netherlands - Poland 1:1
    10.06.2025 Finland - Poland 2:1
    06.06.2025 Poland - Moldova 2:0
    24.03.2025 Poland - Malta 2:0
    21.03.2025 Poland - Lithuania 1:0
    Latest results of Finland
    04.09.2025 Norway - Finland 1:0
    10.06.2025 Finland - Poland 2:1
    07.06.2025 Finland - Netherlands 0:2
    24.03.2025 Lithuania - Finland 2:2
    21.03.2025 Malta - Finland 0:1
    FIFA World Cup Table
    South America
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Argentina18122431:102138
    2Ecuador1888214:5929
    3Colombia1877428:181028
    4Uruguay1877422:121028
    5Brazil1884624:17728
    6Paraguay1877414:10428
    7Bolivia18621017:35-1820
    8Venezuela1846818:28-1018
    9Peru1826106:21-1512
    10Chile1825119:27-1811

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