Result
1:1
01/03/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 8
- Referee: Ortiz Leon J. C. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | AYM Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 32', Meza H. 🟨,
- 34', Perez J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 51', 0 - 1, Puente L. ⚽, Escobar A. (A),
- 54', 1 - 1, Perez J. ⚽, De Jesus Bravo Santiago A. (A),
- 56', Puente L. 🟨,
- 57', Gonzalez O. 🟨,
- 59', Bermudez C. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
- 60', Calzadilla L. 🟨,
- 70', Pizzuto E. ↓, Garcia Pardo M. ↑,
- 71', Puente L. ↓, Gonzalez S. ↑,
- 74', Munoz D. ↓, Villa O. ↑,
- 74', Cisneros C. ↓, Camacho Lastra R. E. ↑,
- 74', Gonzalez O. ↓, Flores B. ↑,
- 77', Calzadilla L. ↓, Charcopa J. ↑,
- 77', Jimenez E. ↓, Alonzo J. ↑,
- 79', Perez J. ↓, Rivera E. ↑,
- 83', Villa O. 🟨,
- 87', De Jesus Bravo Santiago A. ↓, Brigido J. ↑,
- 90', Camacho Lastra R. E. 🟨,
- 90+4', Gonzalez J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Leones Negros UdeG
24.2% | Draw
24.9% | Atlante
50.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leones Negros UdeG has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leones Negros UdeG's form might have worsened.Atlante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlante's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leones Negros UdeG than the current prediction. (+9.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leones Negros UdeG, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlante than the current prediction. (-11.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlante, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Leones Negros UdeG - Atlante Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.88 ↑
(2.8) |
3.77 ↑
(3.38) |
1.84 ↓
(2.28) |
6.6%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leones Negros UdeG won 0.
- Leones Negros UdeG has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Atlante has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Atlante may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Atlante could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Leones Negros UdeG won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 15:31. (average 0.8:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Leones Negros UdeG won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 1.2:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Leones Negros UdeG won against Atlante?
Leones Negros UdeG has won 0 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlante won against Leones Negros UdeG?
Atlante has won 8 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Leones Negros UdeG - Atlante were as follows:
20.09.2025
Atlante
-
Leones Negros UdeG
1:0
08.03.2025
Atlante
-
Leones Negros UdeG
2:1
22.09.2024
Leones Negros UdeG
-
Atlante
3:3
12.05.2024
Leones Negros UdeG
-
Atlante
1:2
08.05.2024
Atlante
-
Leones Negros UdeG
2:0
Latest results of Leones Negros UdeG
Latest results of Atlante
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 16:7 | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | Atletico La Paz | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 18:6 | 12 | 19 |
| 3 | Atl. Morelia | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 16:9 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | Tapatio | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 22:17 | 5 | 17 |
| 5 | Atlante | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 15:9 | 6 | 16 |
| 6 | Cancun | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 15 |
| 7 | Tlaxcala | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 15 |
| 8 | Zacatecas Mineros | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 14 |
| 9 | Irapuato | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 22:20 | 2 | 13 |
| 10 | Jaiba Brava | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10:12 | -2 | 13 |
| 11 | Correcaminos | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:16 | -6 | 12 |
| 12 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:23 | -8 | 12 |
| 13 | Venados | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 8 |
| 14 | Leones Negros | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10:20 | -10 | 7 |
| 15 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 12:24 | -12 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
