Result
3:3
20/01/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Southern League Premier Central - Round 22
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 7', 0 - 1, Tope ⚽,
- 14', 0 - 2, Tope ⚽,
- 27', 1 - 2, Blois R. ⚽,
- 34', 2 - 2, Fowkes B. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 84', 2 - 3, Willis J. ⚽,
- 90+5', 3 - 3, Fraser A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Leiston
39.3% | Draw
25.3% | Alvechurch
35.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leiston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leiston's form might have worsened.Alvechurch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alvechurch's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leiston than the current prediction. (+11.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leiston, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alvechurch than the current prediction. (-10.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alvechurch, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Leiston - Alvechurch Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.31 ↑
(1.87) |
3.59 ↓
(3.79) |
2.55 ↓
(3.58) |
10.4%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Leiston - Alvechurch?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DC - Alvechurch (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Alvechurch (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 8 and 19 in the zone Relegation).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leiston won 2.
- Leiston has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Alvechurch is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Alvechurch may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Leiston won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:18. (average 1.5:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Leiston won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:10. (average 1.9:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Leiston won against Alvechurch?
Leiston has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alvechurch won against Leiston?
Alvechurch has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Leiston - Alvechurch were as follows:
22.03.2025
Alvechurch
-
Leiston
1:1
12.11.2024
Leiston
-
Alvechurch
2:1
24.02.2024
Leiston
-
Alvechurch
2:2
28.11.2023
Alvechurch
-
Leiston
0:2
11.02.2023
Leiston
-
Alvechurch
1:1
Latest results of Leiston
Latest results of Alvechurch
English Southern League Central Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Harborough | 40 | 28 | 9 | 3 | 80:32 | 48 | 93 |
| 2 | Spalding United | 40 | 25 | 8 | 7 | 97:48 | 49 | 83 |
| 3 | Real Bedford | 39 | 22 | 9 | 8 | 78:43 | 35 | 75 |
| 4 | Kettering | 39 | 20 | 7 | 12 | 72:51 | 21 | 67 |
| 5 | Halesowen | 40 | 19 | 9 | 12 | 80:60 | 20 | 66 |
| 6 | Needham Market | 39 | 19 | 9 | 11 | 61:49 | 12 | 66 |
| 7 | Redditch | 39 | 20 | 5 | 14 | 61:57 | 4 | 65 |
| 8 | Quorn | 40 | 19 | 7 | 14 | 76:64 | 12 | 64 |
| 9 | Worcester | 40 | 17 | 10 | 13 | 58:38 | 20 | 61 |
| 10 | Stratford | 40 | 17 | 9 | 14 | 60:52 | 8 | 60 |
| 11 | Leiston | 39 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 61:55 | 6 | 58 |
| 12 | Banbury | 39 | 16 | 8 | 15 | 49:52 | -3 | 56 |
| 13 | Bury Town | 40 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 58:52 | 6 | 55 |
| 14 | Alvechurch | 40 | 14 | 7 | 19 | 46:51 | -5 | 49 |
| 15 | Bishop's Stortford | 40 | 13 | 9 | 18 | 51:63 | -12 | 48 |
| 16 | Stourbridge | 39 | 10 | 14 | 15 | 53:67 | -14 | 44 |
| 17 | Bromsgrove | 40 | 11 | 8 | 21 | 49:69 | -20 | 41 |
| 18 | Stamford | 39 | 11 | 7 | 21 | 34:64 | -30 | 40 |
| 19 | St. Ives | 40 | 9 | 10 | 21 | 48:71 | -23 | 37 |
| 20 | Barwell ✔ | 40 | 8 | 8 | 24 | 49:81 | -32 | 32 |
| 21 | Royston ✔ | 40 | 5 | 10 | 25 | 35:78 | -43 | 25 |
| 22 | Sudbury ✔ | 40 | 6 | 7 | 27 | 47:106 | -59 | 25 |
Promotion ~ National League North
Promotion ~ Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Barwell is Relegated to
Royston is Relegated to
Sudbury is Relegated to
