Spain U21 vs Italy U21 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
17/06/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Euro U21 - Round 3
  • Referee: Walsh N. (Sco)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaNew World Sport App, Sporty TV
andorraAndorrabeIN Sports 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaSetanta Sports 1
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
austriaAustriaJoyn
azerbaijanAzerbaijanSetanta Sports 1
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
czech-republicCzech-republicCT sport, CT sport Plus
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
europeEuropeSetanta Sports 1 Baltic
finlandFinlandRuutu+
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 1
germanyGermanyJoyn, Ran
greeceGreeceERT 3, ERT Sports 3
hungaryHungaryM4 Sport
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
israelIsraelSport 4
italyItalyRAI 2, RaiPlay
kyrgyzstanKyrgyzstanSetanta Sports 1
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 2
moldovaMoldovaSetanta Sports 1
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayVG+
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
portugalPortugalSport TV1
romaniaRomaniaVoyo
slovakiaSlovakiaSTVR2
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
spainSpainTeledeporte, TVE La 1
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
tajikistanTajikistanSetanta Sports 1
turkmenistanTurkmenistanSetanta Sports 1
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdom4Seven
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
uzbekistanUzbekistanSetanta Sports 1
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldVIX App

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.880.60
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
99
Shots on target
24
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
32
Passes
85% (346/406)90% (477/530)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.880.60
xG on target (xGOT)
0.690.73
Total shots
99
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
55
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
32
Touches in opposition box
2116
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1115
Passes
85% (346/406)90% (477/530)
Long passes
48% (21/44)47% (15/32)
Passes in final third
67% (58/86)74% (75/101)
Crosses
31% (4/13)20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.630.77
Throw-ins
2114
Fouls
1511
Tackles
56% (10/18)57% (12/21)
Duels won
5157
Clearances
1517
Interceptions
59
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
0.730.69
Goals prevented
-0.28-0.31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 40', Ghilardi D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 53', 1 - 0, Rodriguez J. , Moro R. (A),
  • 57', Fazzini J. 🟨,
  • 59', 1 - 1, Pisilli N. , Ghilardi D. (A),
  • 65', Rodriguez J. , Guerra J. ,
  • 65', Marin P. , Lopez D. ,
  • 67', Pubill M. 🟨,
  • 74', Fazzini J. , Casadei C. ,
  • 74', Ambrosino G. , Gnonto W. ,
  • 74', Moleiro A. , Sanchez J. ,
  • 74', Pubill M. , Torre P. ,
  • 80', Fernandez Jaen R. 🟨,
  • 84', Turicchia R. , Ruggeri M. ,
  • 84', Guarino G. , Pirola L. ,
  • 90', Moro R. , Tarrega C. ,
  • 90', Pisilli N. , Prati M. ,

Chances of winning


Spain U21
49.6%
Draw
26.7%
Italy U21
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.9% 25.9% 21.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Spain U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • Italy U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • Spain U21 - Italy U21 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.88
    (1.79)
    3.53
    (3.65)
    3.98
    (4.45)
    6.7%
    (5.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Spain U21 - Italy U21?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Spain U21 will win (votes: 12 - 63.2%). Italy U21 will win (votes: 2 - 10.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 26.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Spain U21: 41.5%84.9%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Spain U21 (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Italy U21 (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -0.5 - Italy U21 (1.88) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Italy U21 (2.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Italy U21 (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Spain U21 (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Italy U21 (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Spain U21 is Qualified for Euro U21 (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    • Italy U21 is Qualified for Euro U21 (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spain U21 won 3.
    • Italy U21 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Spain U21 is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Spain U21 won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 16:8. (average 2.3:1.1).
    Latest results of Spain U21
    14.06.2025 Spain U21 - Romania U21 2:1
    11.06.2025 Slovakia U21 - Spain U21 2:3
    06.06.2025 Spain U21 - Ukraine U21 0:1
    25.03.2025 Germany U21 - Spain U21 3:1
    Latest results of Italy U21
    14.06.2025 Slovakia U21 - Italy U21 0:1
    11.06.2025 Italy U21 - Romania U21 1:0
    24.03.2025 Italy U21 - Denmark U21 1:1
    19.11.2024 Italy U21 - Ukraine U21 2:2
    UEFA Euro U21 Table
    2027

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Spain U21770026:22421
    2Finland U21751126:22416
    3Romania U2174128:4413
    4Kosovo U21722312:668
    5Cyprus U2171065:24-193
    6San Marino U2170070:39-390


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Portugal U21761028:02819
    2Czech Republic U21742115:31214
    3Scotland U21832318:10811
    4Bulgaria U2173227:6111
    5Azerbaijan U2171335:18-136
    6Gibraltar U2180081:37-360


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1France U21651021:41716
    2Switzerland U21742110:5514
    3Iceland U21732214:9511
    4Faroe Islands U2173046:13-79
    5Luxembourg U2161147:14-74
    6Estonia U2170258:21-132


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1England U21761018:21619
    2Slovakia U21751115:10516
    3Ireland U2173227:10-311
    4Andorra U2182156:10-47
    5Moldova U2181259:17-85
    6Kazakhstan U2171154:10-64


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Poland U21880023:22124
    2Italy U21870125:52021
    3Montenegro U21831411:14-310
    4Sweden U21831410:19-910
    5North Macedonia U2182067:17-106
    6Armenia U2180084:23-190


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Germany U21760122:41818
    2Greece U21760121:41718
    3Northern Ireland U2173138:11-310
    4Georgia U21723212:939
    5Latvia U2171244:12-85
    6Malta U2170071:28-270


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Norway U21540112:4812
    2Bosnia & Herzegovina U2161412:117
    3Israel U2161416:7-17
    4Netherlands U2151227:8-15
    5Slovenia U2161233:10-75


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Croatia U21541011:11013
    2Turkey U2163217:6111
    3Ukraine U21622210:738
    4Hungary U2150326:9-33
    5Lithuania U2160243:14-112


    Group I
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Belgium U21531111:2910
    2Austria U2163127:7010
    3Denmark U21531112:5710
    4Wales U2162046:20-146
    5Belarus U2161147:9-24


    Ranking of second-placed teams
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Italy U21760120:41618
    2Greece U21540111:4712
    3Turkey U2163217:6111
    4Finland U21531111:2910
    5Slovakia U21531110:8210
    6Austria U2163127:7010
    7Czech Republic U2152218:268
    8Switzerland U2152216:428
    9Bosnia & Herzegovina U2161412:117

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