Result
 
                    1:1
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        17/07/2025 at  17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Copa Pacena - Round 5
 
                                                - Referee: Vera G. (Bol)
 
                                                - Where to Watch on TV: 
 
                                                
                    
                    
                    
                    
 |  | 
|---|
 Bolivia | Futbol Canal | 
                      
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
 |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 1.95 | 1.71 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 49% | 51% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 20 | 24 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 5 | 5 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 2 | 1 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 5 | 8 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 72% (230/319) | 74% (246/331) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 2 | 5 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 1.95 | 1.71 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.84 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 20 | 24 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 5 | 5 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 10 | 12 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 5 | 7 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 9 | 13 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 11 | 11 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 2 | 1 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 5 | 8 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 28 | 23 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 2 | 0 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 1 | 2 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 13 | 15 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 72% (230/319) | 74% (246/331) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 28% (18/65) | 39% (29/74) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 61% (82/134) | 66% (69/104) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 5% (1/19) | 26% (6/23) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 0.92 | 1.37 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 28 | 20 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 15 | 13 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 75% (12/16) | 94% (16/17) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 65 | 55 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 26 | 30 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 2 | 10 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 4 | 4 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 0.84 | 1.04 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| -0.16 | 0.04 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
 - 24', 1 - 0, Corulo L. (Pen), 
 - 35', Ramallo D. 🟨, 
 - 45+3', Vila J. 🟨, 
 - 2nd Half (0 - 1)
 - 57', 1 - 1, Ali L. ⚽, Alvarez E. (A), 
 - 59', Velasco W. ↓, Gustavo Oliveira ↑, 
 - 59', Ribera C. ↓, Alessandrini A. ↑, 
 - 59', Barbery Gil M. G. ↓, Mamani K. ↑, 
 - 59', Vallejos Y. 🟨, 
 - 73', Ali L. ↓, Cuellar Orti R. ↑, 
 - 75', Villegas Y. 🟨, 
 - 77', Figueroa L. ↓, Mendez R. ↑, 
 - 78', Fernandez D. 🟨, 
 - 78', Fernandez D. ↓, Thomas J. ↑, 
 - 78', Vallejos Y. ↓, Vila L. ↑, 
 - 85', Crescencio L. ↓, Aguilar F. ↑, 
 - 86', Castillo J. ↓, Sandoval S. ↑, 
 - 86', Thomas J. 🟨, 
 - 90+3', Sandoval S. 🟨, 
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 Real Tomayapo  53% | Draw  22.6% | Real Oruro  24.3% | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Real Tomayapo - Real Oruro Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			    | 
			   1 | 
			   X | 
			   2 | 
                           Marga | 
			    | 
			
			
			
			   Avarage Now (Initially) | 
			   1.72 ↓ (1.82) | 
			   4.03 ↑ (3.7) | 
			   3.75 ↑ (3.57) | 
			   9.7% (9.9%) |  | 
                               
			
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Real Tomayapo - Real Oruro?
                    
                    
                        
						        
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tomayapo (votes: 1 - 50%). Real Oruro (votes: 1 - 50%).                                 The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - Tomayapo is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
 - Real Oruro is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
 - Real Oruro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  - Tomayapo will hold a modest advantage in this match.
 - In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Tomayapo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).
 - Including home match between the teams, Tomayapo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.                        
 
                      
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Real Tomayapo won against Real Oruro?
                    
                    
                        
                            Real Tomayapo has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Real Oruro won against Real Tomayapo?
                    
                    
                        
                             Real Oruro has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Real Tomayapo - Real Oruro were as follows:
                                                        
                                24.06.2025 
                                Real Oruro 
                                - 
                                Real Tomayapo 
                                2:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                20.06.2025 
                                Real Tomayapo 
                                - 
                                Real Oruro 
                                3:2
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Real Tomayapo                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Real Oruro