Changwon City vs Gangneung City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football South Korean K3 League Changwon City - Gangneung City
Result
2:1
13/09/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • K3 League - Round 24

Match Stats

Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
21
Shots on target
21
Corner Kicks
70
Red Cards
01
Total shots
21
Shots on target
21
Shots off target
00
Corner Kicks
70
Goalkeeper Saves
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 33', 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 54', 0 - 1, ,
  • 81', 1 - 1, ,
  • 87', 2 - 1, ,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Changwon City
26.1%
Draw
35.2%
Gangneung City
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.6% 27.6% 29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8% 26.8% 29.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Changwon City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Changwon City's form might have worsened.
  • Gangneung City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gangneung City's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Changwon City than the current prediction. (+17.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Changwon City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gangneung City than the current prediction. (-9.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gangneung City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Changwon City - Gangneung City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.32
    (2.12)
    3.21
    (3.28)
    2.92
    (3.02)
    -11.4%
    (10.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Changwon City - Gangneung City?
  • Users Predictions: Changwon City will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Changwon won 2.
    • Changwon is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Gangneung City is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Changwon is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Changwon won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 21:24. (average 1.1:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Changwon won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.1:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Changwon City - Gangneung City were as follows:
    18.05.2025 Gangneung City - Changwon City 1:0
    05.10.2024 Gangneung City - Changwon City 1:0
    09.06.2024 Changwon City - Gangneung City 2:1
    14.07.2023 Changwon City - Gangneung City 1:2
    02.04.2023 Gangneung City - Changwon City 0:1
    Latest results of Changwon City
    Latest results of Gangneung City
    South Korean K3 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gimhae26176344:192557
    2Siheung Citizen26166443:241954
    3Pocheon25156445:252051
    4Gyeongju KHNP26128632:26644
    5Yangpyeong26134926:19743
    6Busan Kyotong261321132:31141
    7Daejeon Korail25117742:301240
    8Changwon27117928:23540
    9Yeoju Citizen27961230:35-533
    10Paju Citizen26961125:30-533
    11Chuncheon26931427:33-630
    12Gangneung26771237:44-728
    13Jeonbuk 226551627:48-2120
    14Ulsan Citizen26451717:36-1917
    15Mokpo26341917:49-3213