Porto vs Al Ahly Cairo: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

23/06/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

MetLife Stadium (East Rutherford, NJ).

: FIFA Club World Cup - Round 3
Referee: Valenzuela J. (Ven)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.76	2.82
Ball Possession
56%	44%
Total shots
17	23
Shots on target
7	11
Big Chances
5	6
Corner Kicks
11	4
Passes
86% (374/436)	84% (289/345)
Yellow Cards
0	4
Expected Goals (xG)
1.76	2.82
xG on target (xGOT)
2.73	4.05
Total shots
17	23
Shots on target
7	11
Shots off target
6	9
Blocked Shots
4	3
Shots inside the Box
7	13
Shots outside the Box
10	10
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Headed Goals
1	1
Big Chances
5	6
Corner Kicks
11	4
Touches in opposition box
23	38
Accurate through passes
1	2
Offsides
0	2
Free Kicks
11	10
Passes
86% (374/436)	84% (289/345)
Long passes
45% (14/31)	53% (21/40)
Passes in final third
68% (77/113)	78% (94/120)
Crosses
30% (7/23)	27% (3/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.25	0.94
Throw-ins
17	10
Fouls
10	11
Tackles
23% (3/13)	67% (10/15)
Duels won
48	51
Clearances
18	26
Interceptions
5	10
Errors leading to shot
2	0
Errors leading to goal
2	0
Goalkeeper Saves
7	3
xGOT faced
4.05	2.73
Goals prevented
-0.23	-1.27

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 2)
15', 0 - 1, Abou Ali W. ⚽, Fathy H. (A),
23', 1 - 1, Mora R. ⚽,
25', Hany M. 🟨,
35', Fathy H. ↓, Dieng A. ↑,
45+2', 1 - 2, Abou Ali W. (Pen),
2nd Half (3 - 2)
46', Varela A. ↓, Borges G. ↑,
46', Danny Namaso ↓, Samu ↑,
50', 2 - 2, William Gomes ⚽, Borges G. (A),
51', 2 - 3, Abou Ali W. ⚽, Hany M. (A),
53', 3 - 3, Samu ⚽, Vieira F. (A),
56', Mohamed A. R. 🟨,
58', Abou Ali W. ↓, Gradisar N. ↑,
58', Trezeguet ↓, Bencharki A. ↑,
58', El Shahat H. ↓, Kamal O. ↑,
61', Bencharki A. 🟨,
62', Joao Mario ↓, Fernandes M. ↑,
64', 3 - 4, Ben Romdhane M. A. ⚽, Bencharki A. (A),
68', Dari A. 🟨,
69', William Gomes ↓, Pepê ↑,
69', Vieira F. ↓, Veiga G. ↑,
75', Anselmi M. 🟨,
87', Ben Romdhane M. A. ↓, Afsha ↑,
89', 4 - 4, Pepê ⚽,

Chances of winning

Porto
57%

Draw
23.5%

Al Ahly Cairo
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.4%

24.4%

17.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.8%

23.7%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Porto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Al Ahly Cairo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Porto than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Ahly Cairo than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Porto - Al Ahly Cairo Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.63)	4.09 ↑ (3.9)	4.99 ↓ (5.55)	3.6% (5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Porto - Al Ahly Cairo?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -1 - Porto (votes: 3 - 75%).

Users Predictions: Porto will win (58 of 69 users predict this - 84.06%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.42% – 92.7%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Porto will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Recently, Al Ahly has had a series of home games.
In this match, Porto is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Porto: Grujic M. (Heel Injury) Portugal S. (Inactive)
There will not play in Al Ahly: Ashour E. (Collarbone injury) Slim R. (Inactive)
Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

How many head-to-head matches has Porto won against Al Ahly Cairo?

Porto has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Al Ahly Cairo won against Porto?

Al Ahly Cairo has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Porto - Al Ahly Cairo were as follows:

Latest results of Porto

19.06.2025 Inter Miami - Porto 2:1 ✺

15.06.2025 Palmeiras - Porto 0:0 ✺

08.06.2025 Porto - Riga 0:2 ✺

31.05.2025 Wydad Casablanca - Porto 0:1 ✺

17.05.2025 Porto - Nacional 3:0 ✺

Latest results of Al Ahly Cairo

19.06.2025 Palmeiras - Al Ahly Cairo 2:0 ✺

14.06.2025 Al Ahly Cairo - Inter Miami 0:0 ✺

08.06.2025 Al Ahly Cairo - Pachuca 1:1 ✺

28.05.2025 Al Ahly Cairo - Pharco 6:0 ✺

17.05.2025 Al Ahly Cairo - National Bank of Egypt 2:1 ✺

Draw

Play Offs

1/8-finals

1	Inter (E1)	Fluminense (F2)	0 : 2
2	Manchester City (G1)	Al Hilal (H2)	3 : 4
3	Palmeiras (A1)	Botafogo RJ (B2)	1 : 0
4	Benfica (C1)	Chelsea (D2)	1 : 4
5	PSG (B1)	Inter Miami (A2)	4 : 0
6	Flamengo RJ (D1)	Bayern Munich (C2)	2 : 4
7	Real Madrid (H1)	Juventus (G2)	1 : 0
8	Dortmund (F1)	Monterrey (E2)	2 : 1

Quarter-finals

1	Fluminense (F2)	Al Hilal (H2)	2 : 1
2	Palmeiras (A1)	Chelsea (D2)	1 : 2
3	PSG (B1)	Bayern Munich (C2)	2 : 0
4	Real Madrid (H1)	Dortmund (F1)	3 : 2

Semi-finals

1	Fluminense (F2)	Chelsea (D2)	0 : 2
2	PSG (B1)	Real Madrid (H1)	4 : 0

Final

1

Chelsea (D2)

PSG (B1)

Which TV channels are streaming of Porto - Al Ahly Cairo?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Afghanistan	Ariana
Africa	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 1, New World Sport 2, Showmax, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football, SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League, ZAP
Albania	DAZN, SuperSport 3
Angola	Z Sports 1
Argentina	DAZN App, DAZN, DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, DSports 2, Mi Telefe
Asia	MBC Action
Australia	DAZN, Fox Sports 503, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports
Austria	DAZN
Belarus	DAZN, Okko Sport
Belgium	DAZN 1
Bolivia	AXS, Cotas, DAZN App, DAZN, ENTEL TV, Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports App, XDigital
Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV, Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, Globoplay, Sky+, SporTV 2, Zapping
Bulgaria	DAZN
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	DirecTV Sports
China	Migu, ZhiBo8
Colombia	DAZN
Costa-rica	TD +, TDMAX
Croatia	DAZN
Cyprus	DAZN
Czech-republic	DAZN, Nova Sport 5, Oneplay Sport 1, Oneplay Sport 4
Denmark	DAZN
Ecuador	DAZN App, DAZN, DirecTV Sports, DSports 2
El-salvador	Canal 4, TCS GO
Finland	DAZN, Veikkaus TV
France	DAZN 1, DAZN 2, DAZN France, New World TV
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	DAZN
Honduras	Deportes TV
Hong-kong	DAZN
Hungary	Arena 4, DAZN
India	DAZN
Indonesia	DAZN
Ireland	DAZN Ireland
Israel	5 PLUS Israel
Italy	DAZN 1, DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	DAZN
Kenya	Gotv
Latvia	DAZN
Lithuania	DAZN
Malaysia	DAZN
Maldives	Medianet
Malta	TVM Sport+
Mexico	DAZN App, DAZN
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Nicaragua	Canal 13
Nigeria	DAZN, Supersport Maximo 1, Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean
North-macedonia	DAZN
Norway	DAZN, VG+
Panama	Nex
Paraguay	DAZN App, DAZN, Tigo Sports+
Peru	DAZN App, DirecTV Sports
Philippines	DAZN
Poland	DAZN
Portugal	DAZN 1, Porto Canal, TVI Player, TVI
Romania	DAZN, Voyo
Russia	DAZN
Saudi-arabia	Shahid VIP
Serbia	DAZN
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	DAZN
South-africa	DAZN, SuperSport Grandstand, Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
South-america	DGO Latin America
South-korea	Coupang Play, DAZN
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	DAZN
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
Thailand	DAZN
Turkey	DAZN Turkiye, Tabii, TRT 1, TRT Spor
Ukraine	DAZN, Suspilne Sport
United-arab-emirates	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN, DAZN UK
Uruguay	DAZN App, DAZN, DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, DSports 2, Eventos Montecable, Flow, Montecable 1, NS Eventos, TCC 1, TCC 2
Usa	DAZN USA
Uzbekistan	DAZN
Venezuela	DAZN App, DAZN, DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, DSports 2, Inter, Televen
Vietnam	DAZN, FPT Play
World	Sport 24 Extra