Atlético Madrid vs Botafogo RJ: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

23/06/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Rose Bowl (Pasadena, CA).

: FIFA Club World Cup - Round 3
Referee: Ramos C. A. (Mex)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
3.05	0.66
Ball Possession
61%	39%
Total shots
23	7
Shots on target
5	3
Big Chances
5	1
Corner Kicks
9	3
Passes
88% (508/576)	81% (302/371)
Yellow Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
3.05	0.66
xG on target (xGOT)
1.57	1.29
Total shots
23	7
Shots on target
5	3
Shots off target
12	1
Blocked Shots
6	3
Shots inside the Box
17	5
Shots outside the Box
6	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
5	1
Corner Kicks
9	3
Touches in opposition box
63	9
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
0	0
Free Kicks
16	11
Passes
88% (508/576)	81% (302/371)
Long passes
74% (28/38)	35% (17/48)
Passes in final third
81% (197/244)	73% (55/75)
Crosses
18% (7/39)	27% (3/11)
Expected assists (xA)
3.37	0.37
Throw-ins
19	14
Fouls
11	16
Tackles
79% (11/14)	35% (6/17)
Duels won
56	41
Clearances
14	57
Interceptions
5	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	4
xGOT faced
1.29	1.57
Goals prevented
1.29	0.57

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Gallagher C. ↓, Griezmann A. ↑,
59', Allan ↓, Newton ↑,
60', Simeone G. ↓, Correa A. ↑,
65', Alex Telles ↓, Cuiabano ↑,
65', Savarino J. ↓, Montoro A. ↑,
65', de Paul R. ↓, Koke ↑,
74', Vitinho ↓, Ponte M. ↑,
74', Artur ↓, Rodriguez S. ↑,
84', Barrios P. ↓, Molina N. ↑,
84', Sorloth A. ↓, Lino S. ↑,
87', 1 - 0, Griezmann A. ⚽, Alvarez J. (A),
90+6', Gregore 🟨,

Chances of winning

Atlético Madrid
60.2%

Draw
24.3%

Botafogo RJ
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.7%

19.9%

11.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.9%

19.4%

11.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Madrid's form might have worsened.

Botafogo RJ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Madrid, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Atlético Madrid - Botafogo RJ Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.42)	4.03 ↓ (4.9)	6.34 ↓ (8.55)	3.1% (2.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Atlético Madrid - Botafogo RJ?

Users Predictions: 78 users predict this event. Atlético will win (votes: 66 - 84.6%). Botafogo will win (votes: 6 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético: 76.6% – 92.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -1 - Botafogo (votes: 7 - 87.5%).

AH -0.5 - Botafogo (votes: 6 - 100%).

DC - Botafogo (votes: 4 - 100%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Atlético Madrid will win (20 of 24 users predict this - 83.33%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

Recent performances by Atlético have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Botafogo is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Recently, Atlético has had a series of away games.
In this match, Atlético is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Botafogo: Bastos (Knee Injury) Jeffinho (Inactive) Matheus Martins (Hamstring Injury)
There are questionable in Atlético: Gimenez J. M. (Injury)
The teams have not played against each other recently.

How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Madrid won against Botafogo RJ?

Atlético Madrid has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Botafogo RJ won against Atlético Madrid?

Botafogo RJ has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Madrid - Botafogo RJ were as follows:

Latest results of Atlético Madrid

19.06.2025 Seattle Sounders - Atlético Madrid 1:3 ✺

15.06.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Atlético Madrid 4:0 ✺

25.05.2025 Girona - Atlético Madrid 0:4 ✺

18.05.2025 Atlético Madrid - Betis 4:1 ✺

15.05.2025 Osasuna - Atlético Madrid 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Botafogo RJ

19.06.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Botafogo RJ 0:1 ✺

15.06.2025 Botafogo RJ - Seattle Sounders 2:1 ✺

04.06.2025 Botafogo RJ - Ceará 3:2 ✺

01.06.2025 Santos - Botafogo RJ 0:1 ✺

27.05.2025 Botafogo RJ - Universidad de Chile 1:0 ✺

Draw

Play Offs

1/8-finals

1	Inter (E1)	Fluminense (F2)	0 : 2
2	Manchester City (G1)	Al Hilal (H2)	3 : 4
3	Palmeiras (A1)	Botafogo RJ (B2)	1 : 0
4	Benfica (C1)	Chelsea (D2)	1 : 4
5	PSG (B1)	Inter Miami (A2)	4 : 0
6	Flamengo RJ (D1)	Bayern Munich (C2)	2 : 4
7	Real Madrid (H1)	Juventus (G2)	1 : 0
8	Dortmund (F1)	Monterrey (E2)	2 : 1

Quarter-finals

1	Fluminense (F2)	Al Hilal (H2)
2	Palmeiras (A1)	Chelsea (D2)
3	PSG (B1)	Bayern Munich (C2)
4	Real Madrid (H1)	Dortmund (F1)

Semi-finals

1	TBD #1	TBD #2
2	TBD #3	TBD #4

Final

1

TBD #1

TBD #2

Which TV channels are streaming of Atlético Madrid - Botafogo RJ?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Afghanistan	Ariana
Africa	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 1, Showmax, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life, Startimes World Football, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League, ZAP
Albania	DAZN, SuperSport 2
Angola	Z Sports 3
Argentina	DAZN App, DAZN, DirecTV Sports, Disney+, DSports 1, Mi Telefe App, Mi Telefe, Telefe
Australia	DAZN, Fox Sports 503, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports
Austria	DAZN
Belarus	DAZN, Okko Sport
Belgium	DAZN 1
Bolivia	AXS, Cotas, DAZN App, DAZN, ENTEL TV, Red Uno, Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports App, XDigital
Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV, Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, Globoplay, Sky+, SporTV, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	DAZN
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	DirecTV Sports
China	Migu, ZhiBo8
Colombia	DAZN, Win play, Win Sports
Costa-rica	TDMAX, Teletica 7
Croatia	DAZN
Cuba	Tele Rebelde
Cyprus	DAZN
Czech-republic	DAZN, Nova Sport 5, Oneplay Sport 1
Denmark	DAZN
Ecuador	DAZN App, DAZN, DirecTV Sports
El-salvador	Canal 4, TCS GO
Finland	DAZN, Veikkaus TV
France	DAZN 1, DAZN 2, DAZN France, New World TV
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	DAZN
Honduras	Deportes TV
Hong-kong	DAZN
Hungary	DAZN, Duna World / M4 Sport +
India	DAZN
Indonesia	DAZN
Ireland	DAZN Ireland
Israel	5 PLUS Israel
Italy	DAZN 1, DAZN Italia, Infinity+, Italia 1
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	DAZN
Kenya	Gotv
Latvia	DAZN
Lithuania	DAZN
Malaysia	DAZN
Maldives	Medianet
Malta	TVM Sport+
Mexico	DAZN App, DAZN, VIX+, ViX Premium
Montenegro	TVCG 2
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Nicaragua	Canal 13
Nigeria	DAZN, Supersport Maximo 1, Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean
North-macedonia	DAZN
Norway	DAZN, VG+
Panama	Nex
Paraguay	DAZN App, DAZN, Tigo Sports
Peru	America TV GO, America TV, DAZN App, DirecTV Sports, Disney+
Philippines	DAZN
Poland	DAZN
Portugal	DAZN 1
Romania	DAZN, Pro TV, Voyo
Russia	DAZN
Serbia	DAZN
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	DAZN
South-africa	DAZN, Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
South-america	DGO Latin America, ViX Latin America
South-korea	Coupang Play, DAZN
Spain	DAZN Espana, Mitele Plus, TeleCinco
Sweden	DAZN
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	DAZN
Thailand	DAZN
Turkey	DAZN Turkiye, Tabii, TRT Spor
Ukraine	DAZN, Suspilne Sport
United-arab-emirates	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN, DAZN UK
Uruguay	DAZN App, DAZN, DirecTV Sports, Disney+, DSports 1, Eventos Montecable, Flow, Montecable 1, NS Eventos, TCC 1, TCC 2
Usa	DAZN USA
Uzbekistan	DAZN
Venezuela	DAZN App, DAZN, DirecTV Sports, Disney+, DSports 1, Inter, Televen
Vietnam	DAZN, FPT Play
World	Sport 24 Extra