Bahia vs Chapecoense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
Postponed
25/02/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 4

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.000.00
Ball possession
0%0%
Total shots
00
Shots on target
00
Big chances
00
Corner kicks
00
Expected goals (xG)
0.000.00
xG on target (xGOT)
0.000.00
Total shots
00
Shots on target
00
Shots off target
00
Blocked shots
00
Shots inside the box
00
Shots outside the box
00
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
00
Corner kicks
00
Touches in opposition box
00
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free kicks
00
Expected assists (xA)
0.000.00
Throw ins
00
Fouls
00
Duels won
00
Clearances
00
Interceptions
00
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
00
xGOT faced
0.000.00
Goals prevented
0.000.00

Chances of winning


Bahia
59.9%
Draw
24%
Chapecoense
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.8% 24.2% 15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5% 23.9% 15.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • Chapecoense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • Bahia - Chapecoense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.58
    (1.55)
    3.9
    (3.82)
    5.66
    (5.8)
    6.4%
    (8.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Bahia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Bahia has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Bahia is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Bahia: Kanu (Injury) Ruan Pablo (Injury)
    • There will not play in Chapecoense: Bruno Matias (Knee Injury) Mancha (Knee Injury) Rafael Thyere (Inactive) Robert Conceicao (Inactive)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 0.9:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bahia won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 0.8:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bahia - Chapecoense were as follows:
    30.09.2022 Chapecoense - Bahia 3:1
    Latest results of Bahia
    18.02.2026 OHiggins - Bahia 1:0
    14.02.2026 Bahia - Jacuipense 2:2
    11.02.2026 Vasco da Gama - Bahia 0:1
    08.02.2026 Juazeirense - Bahia 1:1
    Latest results of Chapecoense
    22.02.2026 Chapecoense - Brusque 3:0
    14.02.2026 Brusque - Chapecoense 1:0
    11.02.2026 Chapecoense - Coritiba 3:3
    08.02.2026 Chapecoense - Criciúma 0:0
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras14103124:111333
    2Flamengo RJ1383226:121427
    3Fluminense1482423:18526
    4Sao Paulo1473419:13624
    5Athletico-PR1472520:15523
    6Bahia1364319:16322
    7Bragantino1462617:16120
    8Coritiba1454516:17-119
    9Vitoria1353516:18-218
    10Botafogo RJ1352625:26-117
    11Atletico-MG1452717:20-317
    12Internacional1445514:14017
    13Vasco1445520:21-117
    14Gremio1445515:16-117
    15Cruzeiro1444618:24-616
    16Corinthians133649:11-215
    17Santos1436519:22-315
    18Remo1425715:24-911
    19Mirassol1223713:18-59
    20Chapecoense-SC1315713:26-138

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B