Result
2:5
28/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 1.99 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 25 | 14 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 8% (2/25) | 35.71% (5/14) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 9 | 23 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 69.23% (9/13) | 92% (23/25) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/3) | 33.33% (1/3) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 66.67% (2/3) | 100% (3/3) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 23 | 22 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 51.11 | 48.89 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 0)
- 11:21, Falk H. (2 min),
- 18:56, Johannesen J. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (1 - 2)
- 01:00, 1 - 0, Ruohomaa M. (G), Beaucage A. (A), Stenqvist J. (A2)
- 02:14, 1 - 1, Kumpula J. (G),
- 07:46, 1 - 2, Batna O. (G), Jurgens C. (A), Karvinen R. (A2)
- 16:15, (2 min),
- 3rd Period (1 - 3)
- 01:32, Westerholm Pa. (2 min),
- 11:52, Jandric S. (2 min),
- 12:00, 1 - 3, Karvinen R. (G), Nieminen D. (A),
- 13:23, Zetterberg L. (2 min),
- 14:13, Beaucage A. (2 min),
- 14:13, 1 - 4, Karvinen R. (Penalty Shot),
- 15:25, 2 - 4, Morand A. (G), Saarela A. (A), Krannila J. (A2)
- 17:26, 2 - 5, Hirvonen K. (G), Teutari E. (A),
Chances of winning
Lukko
64.9% | Draw
18.6% | Pelicans
16.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lukko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)Pelicans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lukko than the current prediction. (-8.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lukko that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pelicans than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
Lukko - Pelicans Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.44 ↓
(1.55) |
4.98 ↑
(4.7) |
5.76 ↑
(4.7) |
6.9%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lukko won 3.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Pelicans may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Pelicans has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Lukko is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lukko won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 50:50. (average 2.5:2.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lukko won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:22. (average 2.3:2.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Lukko won against Pelicans?
Lukko has won 7 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pelicans won against Lukko?
Pelicans has won 8 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lukko - Pelicans were as follows:
13.01.2026
Lukko
-
Pelicans
4:3
27.12.2025
Pelicans
-
Lukko
1:5
11.10.2025
Pelicans
-
Lukko
2:0
08.01.2025
Pelicans
-
Lukko
2:5
21.12.2024
Lukko
-
Pelicans
2:5
Latest results of Pelicans
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara ✔ | 57 | 34 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 214:138 | 113 |
| 2 | SaiPa | 58 | 30 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 197:154 | 109 |
| 3 | KooKoo | 57 | 30 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 201:148 | 106 |
| 4 | JYP | 57 | 25 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 191:164 | 103 |
| 5 | Ilves | 57 | 27 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 175:144 | 101 |
| 6 | Lukko | 57 | 27 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 173:145 | 101 |
| 7 | KalPa | 58 | 27 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 174:170 | 100 |
| 8 | Assat ✔ | 57 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 23 | 155:156 | 88 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo ✔ | 58 | 21 | 5 | 11 | 21 | 147:155 | 84 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 57 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 23 | 130:149 | 80 |
| 11 | IFK Helsinki | 57 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 137:178 | 79 |
| 12 | Hameenlinna | 57 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 138:158 | 72 |
| 13 | TPS Turku | 57 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 134:162 | 71 |
| 14 | Jukurit | 57 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 127:156 | 64 |
| 15 | Karpat | 57 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 30 | 167:188 | 63 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 58 | 9 | 1 | 11 | 37 | 107:202 | 40 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Tappara is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Assat is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Kiekko-Espoo is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
