Ilia Topuria vs Charles Oliveira – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

29/06/2025 at 00:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

T-Mobile Arena (Las Vegas, NV).

LIGHTWEIGHT - MEN: UFC
Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	RMC Sport 1
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 6
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Polsat Sport 2
Portugal	Sport TV2
Slovakia	Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay
Ukraine	Setanta Sports+
United-kingdom	TNT Sports 1

Chances of winning

Ilia Topuria
76.9%

Charles Oliveira
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

77.5%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilia Topuria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Charles Oliveira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Ilia Topuria - Charles Oliveira Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↑ (1.22)		4.08 ↓ (4.19)	4.7% (6.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

What is the prediction for Ilia Topuria - Charles Oliveira?

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Topuria will win (votes: 6 - 40%). Oliveira will win (votes: 9 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Oliveira: 35.2% – 84.8%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Charles Oliveira will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is .

Preview Facts

Title fight.
In this match, Topuria is the team to beat.
Recently, the fighters have not faced each other.

How many head-to-head matches has Ilia Topuria won against Charles Oliveira?

Ilia Topuria has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Charles Oliveira won against Ilia Topuria?

Charles Oliveira has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Ilia Topuria - Charles Oliveira were as follows:

Latest results of Ilia Topuria

26.10.2024 Ilia Topuria - Max Holloway Topuria I. - 3rd Round TKO ✺

18.02.2024 Alex Volkanovski - Ilia Topuria Topuria I. - 2nd Round KO ✺

24.06.2023 Josh Emmett - Ilia Topuria points/5:points/5 ✺

Latest results of Charles Oliveira

16.11.2024 Charles Oliveira - Michael Chandler Oliveira C. win ✺

13.04.2024 Charles Oliveira - Arman Tsarukyan Tsarukyan A. win ✺

21.10.2023 Islam Makhachev - Charles Oliveira Canceled ✺

10.06.2023 Charles Oliveira - Beneil Dariush Oliveira C. - 1st Round TKO ✺