Chivas Guadalajara vs UNAM – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Mexican Liga MX Women Chivas Guadalajara - UNAM
Result
4:3
05/10/2025 at 13:07 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga MX Women - Apertura - Round 14
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Tubi TV
usaUsaNBC Universo

Match Stats

Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
2112
Shots on target
88
Corner Kicks
101
Yellow Cards
22
Total shots
2112
Shots on target
88
Shots off target
134
Corner Kicks
101

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 32', 0 - 1, Hix A. ,
  • 41', Bolanos N. 🟨,
  • 45+4', 0 - 2, Hix A. ,
  • 2nd Half (4 - 1)
  • 46', De La Rosa J. , Montoya J. ,
  • 50', Jaramillo C. 🟨,
  • 57', Delgado D. , Salazar E. ,
  • 66', 1 - 2, Castro D. ,
  • 68', 2 - 2, Salazar E. ,
  • 74', 2 - 3, Ribeiro S. ,
  • 75', Villarreal N. , Iturbide A. ,
  • 77', 3 - 3, Salazar E. ,
  • 83', Bolanos N. , Delgado F. ,
  • 83', Hix A. , Gonzalez M. ,
  • 83', Flores S. , Becerril K. ,
  • 90', Valenzuela G. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Torres C. 🟨,
  • 90+7', 4 - 3, Cervantes A. ,
  • 90+8', Herrera L. , Serna L. ,

Chances of winning


Chivas Guadalajara
56.9%
Draw
23.8%
UNAM
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.2% 22.7% 18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4% 21.9% 17.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chivas Guadalajara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • UNAM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chivas Guadalajara than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for UNAM than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • Chivas Guadalajara - UNAM Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.64
    (1.53)
    3.82
    (4)
    4.66
    (5)
    8.7%
    (10.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guadalajara won 2.
    • Guadalajara is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • UNAM has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Guadalajara is a strong favorite.
    • We predict that Guadalajara will win today's game, with odds of 1.52.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Guadalajara won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 29:15. (average 1.9:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Guadalajara won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 20:6. (average 2.5:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chivas Guadalajara - UNAM were as follows:
    27.04.2025 UNAM - Chivas Guadalajara 0:1
    24.04.2025 Chivas Guadalajara - UNAM 2:0
    17.04.2025 Chivas Guadalajara - UNAM 0:0
    26.09.2024 UNAM - Chivas Guadalajara 3:1
    13.04.2024 UNAM - Chivas Guadalajara 1:1
    Latest results of Chivas Guadalajara
    Latest results of UNAM
    29.09.2025 UNAM - Atlético San Luis 1:2
    25.09.2025 Mazatlan - UNAM 0:4
    19.09.2025 Querétaro - UNAM 2:1
    12.09.2025 Tigres UANL - UNAM 5:1
    06.09.2025 UNAM - Toluca 1:2
    Mexican Liga MX Women Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tigres UANL W ✔ 15122153:84538
    2Pachuca W ✔ 15113152:183436
    3Club America W ✔ 15102348:192932
    4Guadalajara Chivas W1492323:14929
    5Toluca W1484228:151328
    6Monterrey W1582533:221126
    7Club Leon W1573529:30-124
    8UNAM Pumas W1471630:24622
    9Cruz Azul W1463532:23921
    10Atl. San Luis W1463519:20-121
    11Juarez W1455416:14220
    12Atlas W1454521:25-419
    13Club Tijuana W1533916:26-1012
    14Queretaro W1424813:42-2910
    15Santos Laguna W1423915:32-179
    16Necaxa W1422108:32-248
    17Puebla W1412115:36-315
    18Mazatlan FC W1402127:48-412

          Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Tigres UANL W is Qualified for Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Pachuca W is Qualified for Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Club America W is Qualified for Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)