Southland vs Counties Manukau – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby union New Zealand Bunnings NPC Southland - Counties Manukau
Result
10:64
14/09/2025 at 00:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Bunnings NPC
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 1

Match Stats

Tries
00
Conversion Goals
00
Conversion Goal Attempts
00
Penalty Goals
00
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped Goals
00
Total Runs
00
Metres Run With Ball
00

Chances of winning


Southland
60.4%
Draw
4.1%
Counties Manukau
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.3% 4% 37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6% 3.9% 36.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Southland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • Counties Manukau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southland than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Counties Manukau than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • Southland - Counties Manukau Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.52
    (1.57)
    22.51
    (23)
    2.59
    (2.43)
    8.8%
    (9.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 57.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)
  • What is the prediction for Southland - Counties Manukau?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -4.5 - Counties Manukau (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Counties Manukau will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 76.03%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Counties Manukau will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 32:27.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Southland won 2.
    • Recent performances by Southland have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Counties Manukau's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Southland may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Southland is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • We predict that Southland will win today's game, with odds of 1.55.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Southland won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 184:244. (average 23:30.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Southland won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 108:107. (average 27:26.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Southland - Counties Manukau were as follows:
    09.09.2023 Counties Manukau - Southland 39:29
    24.09.2022 Southland - Counties Manukau 30:26
    Latest results of Southland
    06.09.2025 Southland - Canterbury 14:54
    31.08.2025 Waikato - Southland 10:25
    21.08.2025 Bay of Plenty - Southland 25:30
    15.08.2025 Southland - Manawatu 29:22
    08.08.2025 Northland - Southland 22:17
    Latest results of Counties Manukau
    29.08.2025 Counties Manukau - Taranaki 22:43
    23.08.2025 Otago - Counties Manukau 33:19
    17.08.2025 Waikato - Counties Manukau 27:26
    New Zealand Bunnings NPC Table
    2025
    PlWDLPts
    1Canterbury8701273:13530
    2Otago8602246:20526
    3Taranaki8503265:17523
    4Hawke's Bay8503239:18822
    5Waikato8503204:23122
    6Bay of Plenty7403191:12820
    7Tasman8404228:20319
    8Northland7403162:16916
    9Manawatu7304194:26214
    10Counties Manukau8305238:25314
    11Wellington8305275:26514
    12Southland8305159:29613
    13Auckland8206208:28311
    14North Harbour7007144:2333

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