USA vs Guatemala, Gold Cup – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Gold Cup
Football Gold Cup USA - Guatemala
Result
2:1
02/07/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Gold Cup - Play Offs - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSporty TV, StarTimes App
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 2
australiaAustraliaESPN 2, ESPN, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports
austriaAustriaDAZN
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
canadaCanadaOneSoccer, RDS 2, RDS App, TLN, TSN 1, TSN 4, Univision Canada, VIVA
colombiaColombiaESPN 2
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
israelIsraelSport 4
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Arena Bola, Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
mexicoMexicoVIX+, ViX Premium
netherlandsNetherlandsESPN 1
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean, ESPN Norte
peruPeruDisney+
portugalPortugalSport TV1
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaAloula, KSA Sports 1
singaporeSingaporeHUB Sports 2
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSky Sports Korea
spainSpainGolStadium
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
ukraineUkraineMaincast
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomPremier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaConcacaf GO, Fox Sports 1, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fubo Sports Network, Tubi TV, TUDN App, TUDN, Univision
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
worldWorldVIX App

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.761.32
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
1220
Shots on target
75
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
26
Passes
82% (315/383)84% (325/386)
Yellow Cards
42
Expected Goals (xG)
1.761.32
xG on target (xGOT)
2.111.90
Total shots
1220
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
29
Blocked Shots
36
Shots inside the Box
610
Shots outside the Box
610
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
26
Touches in opposition box
1220
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
1515
Passes
82% (315/383)84% (325/386)
Long passes
53% (33/62)46% (19/41)
Passes in final third
70% (61/87)71% (77/109)
Crosses
25% (2/8)35% (8/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.631.12
Throw-ins
2211
Fouls
1515
Tackles
54% (7/13)57% (4/7)
Duels won
5041
Clearances
2517
Interceptions
55
Errors leading to shot
21
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
45
xGOT faced
1.902.11
Goals prevented
0.900.11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Luna D. ⚽,
  • 15', 2 - 0, Luna D. ⚽, Tillman M. (A),
  • 45+1', Richards C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 49', Robles S. 🟨,
  • 51', Luna D. 🟨,
  • 55', de la Torre L. 🟨,
  • 58', de la Torre L. ↓, Aaronson B. ↑,
  • 65', Robles S. ↓, Franco J. ↑,
  • 65', Rosales J. ↓, Castellanos O. ↑,
  • 65', Munoz R. ↓, Escobar O. ↑,
  • 70', Altan P. ↓, Ordonez A. ↑,
  • 70', Rubin R. ↓, Lom D. ↑,
  • 77', Adams T. ↓, McGlynn J. ↑,
  • 77', Luna D. ↓, Tolkin J. ↑,
  • 77', Freese M. 🟨,
  • 80', 2 - 1, Escobar O. ⚽, Ordonez A. (A),
  • 85', Arfsten M. ↓, Zimmerman W. ↑,
  • 85', Agyemang P. ↓, Downs D. ↑,
  • 90+4', Santis O. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


USA
74.3%		Draw
17%		Guatemala
8.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
77.7% 15.2% 7.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • USA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • Guatemala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
    •

    USA - Guatemala Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.27 ↑
    (1.23)    		 5.54 ↓
    (6.29)    		 10.83 ↓
    (13.4)    		 6.1%
    (4.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for USA - Guatemala?
  • Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. USA will win (votes: 21 - 95.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for USA: 86.8% – 100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. USA (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 4 - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, USA won 4.
    • USA is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Guatemala has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, USA is the clear favorite.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, USA won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:3. (average 2.8:0.5).
    Latest results of USA
    29.06.2025 USA - Costa Rica 3:2 ✺
    22.06.2025 USA - Haiti 2:1 ✺
    19.06.2025 Saudi Arabia - USA 0:1 ✺
    15.06.2025 USA - Trinidad & Tobago 5:0 ✺
    10.06.2025 USA - Switzerland 0:4 ✺
    Latest results of Guatemala
    29.06.2025 Canada - Guatemala 1:2 ✺
    24.06.2025 Guadeloupe - Guatemala 2:3 ✺
    20.06.2025 Guatemala - Panama 0:1 ✺
    16.06.2025 Jamaica - Guatemala 0:1 ✺
    10.06.2025 Jamaica - Guatemala 3:0 ✺
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1USA (D1)Costa Rica (A2)3 : 2
    2Canada (B1)Guatemala (C2)1 : 2
    3Mexico (A1)Saudi Arabia (D2)2 : 0
    4Panama (C1)Honduras (B2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1USA (D1)Guatemala (C2)2 : 1
    2Mexico (A1)Honduras (B2)1 : 0

    Final
    1USA (D1)Mexico (A1)1 : 2
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