Fluminense vs Al-Hilal: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer FIFA Club World Cup
Soccer FIFA Club World Cup Fluminense - Al-Hilal
Result
2:1
04/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : FIFA Club World Cup - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: Makkelie D. (Ned)
Fluminense - Al-Hilal - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.740.83
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
1014
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
412
Passes
85% (282/333)88% (382/432)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
0.740.83
xG on target (xGOT)
1.691.47
Total shots
1014
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
47
Shots inside the Box
58
Shots outside the Box
56
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
412
Touches in opposition box
1334
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1213
Passes
85% (282/333)88% (382/432)
Long passes
43% (16/37)50% (18/36)
Passes in final third
65% (50/77)73% (83/113)
Crosses
30% (3/10)16% (5/31)
Expected assists (xA)
0.280.56
Throw-ins
1613
Fouls
1312
Tackles
39% (7/18)58% (11/19)
Duels won
3947
Clearances
3412
Interceptions
1212
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
1.471.69
Goals prevented
0.47-0.31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 10', Milinkovic-Savic S. 🟨,
  • 21', Lodi R. 🟨,
  • 36', Freytes J. 🟨,
  • 40', 1 - 0, Martinelli ⚽, Fuentes G. (A),
  • 43', Martinelli 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Martinelli ↓, Hercules ↑,
  • 51', 1 - 1, Marcos Leonardo ⚽, Koulibaly K. (A),
  • 64', Thiago Silva 🟨,
  • 68', Cano G. ↓, Everaldo ↑,
  • 68', Nonato ↓, Lima ↑,
  • 70', 2 - 1, Hercules ⚽, Samuel Xavier (A),
  • 75', Kanno M. ↓, Hamdallah A. ↑,
  • 83', Al Dawsari N. ↓, Kaio Cesar ↑,
  • 83', Al Harbi M. ↓, Al Bulayhi A. ↑,
  • 83', Samuel Xavier ↓, Guga ↑,
  • 88', Bernal F. ↓, Thiago Santos ↑,
  • 90', Inzaghi S. 🟨,
  • 90', Neves R. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Cancelo J. ↓, Al Yami H. ↑,
  • 90+3', Malcom ↓, Al Juwayr M. ↑,
  • 90+7', Koulibaly K. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Fluminense
32.3%		Draw
29.7%		Al-Hilal
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.9% 28.1% 40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3% 28.5% 39.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fluminense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • Al-Hilal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Fluminense aligns with the current prediction.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Hilal than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
    •

    Fluminense - Al-Hilal Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.93 ↓
    (3.02)    		 3.23 ↓
    (3.43)    		 2.53 ↑
    (2.41)    		 4.7%
    (3.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    •
    What is the prediction for Fluminense - Al-Hilal?
  • Users Predictions: 52 users predict this event. Fluminense will win (votes: 15 - 28.8%). Al-Hilal will win (votes: 24 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Hilal: 32.6% – 59.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 15 high ROI users predict this event. Fluminense (votes: 6 - 40%). Al-Hilal (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • TQ, OT - Al-Hilal (votes: 8 - 100%).
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 5 - 83.3%).
    • BTS - no (votes: 5 - 83.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Now, both teams are in good form.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Fluminense: Isaque Silva (Injury) Otavio (Achilles Tendon Injury) Rene (Yellow Cards) Riquelme Felipe (Injury)
    • There will not play in Al-Hilal: Al Dawsari S. (Hamstring Injury) Al Malki A. (Injury) Mitrovic A. (Muscle Injury)
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Fluminense
    30.06.2025 Inter Milan - Fluminense 0:2 ✺
    25.06.2025 Mamelodi Sundowns - Fluminense 0:0 ✺
    21.06.2025 Fluminense - Ulsan HD 4:2 ✺
    17.06.2025 Fluminense - Borussia Dortmund 0:0 ✺
    01.06.2025 Internacional RS - Fluminense 0:2 ✺
    Latest results of Al-Hilal
    30.06.2025 Manchester City - Al-Hilal 3:4 ✺
    26.06.2025 Al-Hilal - Pachuca 2:0 ✺
    22.06.2025 Red Bull Salzburg - Al-Hilal 0:0 ✺
    18.06.2025 Real Madrid - Al-Hilal 1:1 ✺
    26.05.2025 Al-Hilal - Al-Qadisiya 2:0 ✺
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Inter (E1)Fluminense (F2)0 : 2
    2Manchester City (G1)Al Hilal (H2)3 : 4
    3Palmeiras (A1)Botafogo RJ (B2)1 : 0
    4Benfica (C1)Chelsea (D2)1 : 4
    5PSG (B1)Inter Miami (A2)4 : 0
    6Flamengo RJ (D1)Bayern Munich (C2)2 : 4
    7Real Madrid (H1)Juventus (G2)1 : 0
    8Dortmund (F1)Monterrey (E2)2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Fluminense (F2)Al Hilal (H2)2 : 1
    2Palmeiras (A1)Chelsea (D2)
    3PSG (B1)Bayern Munich (C2)
    4Real Madrid (H1)Dortmund (F1)

    Semi-finals
    1Fluminense (F2)TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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