Shintaro Mochizuki vs Karen Khachanov – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
17/02/2026 at 07:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Doha, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
67
Double Faults
72
1st serve percentage
53%62%
1st serve points won
57% (29/51)76% (35/46)
2nd serve points won
49% (22/45)43% (12/28)
Break Points Saved
62% (8/13)40% (2/5)
1st return points won
28% (13/46)43% (22/51)
2nd return points won
57% (16/28)51% (23/45)
Break Points Converted
60% (3/5)38% (5/13)
Winners
2420
Unforced errors
4528
Net points won
86% (19/22)17% (1/6)
Service Points Won
53% (51/96)64% (47/74)
Return Points Won
36% (27/74)47% (45/96)
Total Points Won
46% (78/170)54% (92/170)
Last 10 balls
37
Match points saved
10
Service games won
62% (8/13)77% (10/13)
Return games won
23% (3/13)38% (5/13)
Total games won
42% (11/26)58% (15/26)

Chances of winning


Shintaro Mochizuki
15.2%
Karen Khachanov
84.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22% 78%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Shintaro Mochizuki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shintaro Mochizuki's form might have worsened.
  • Karen Khachanov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Karen Khachanov's recent form is better than expected.
  • Shintaro Mochizuki - Karen Khachanov Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.27
    (4.32)

    1.12
    (1.22)
    5.2%
    (5.1%)
    What is the prediction for Shintaro Mochizuki - Karen Khachanov?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Khachanov will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Khachanov (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +4.5 Games - Khachanov (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Khachanov (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Mochizuki is ranked ATP: 117. Khachanov is ranked ATP: 17.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Mochizuki may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Khachanov is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mochizuki won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Shintaro Mochizuki - Karen Khachanov were as follows:
    02.07.2025 Shintaro Mochizuki - Karen Khachanov 2:3
    Latest results of Karen Khachanov
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Rinderknech A.2 : 0
    2Royer V.Herbert P. (Q)2 : 0
    3Fucsovics M.Habib H. (WC)2 : 0
    4Mochizuki S.Khachanov K. (7)1 : 2
    5Medvedev D. (4)Shang J. (PR)2 : 0
    6Echargui M. (WC)Tsitsipas S.0 : 2
    7Humbert U.Marozsan F.0 : 2
    8De Jong J.Rublev A. (5)0 : 2
    9Lehecka J. (8)Brooksby J.2 : 0
    10Bergs Z.Mpetshi Perricard G.2 : 1
    11Fils A.Majchrzak K.2 : 1
    12Carreno-Busta P. (Q)Halys Q. (LL)1 : 2
    13Mensik J. (6)Choinski J. (Q)2 : 1
    14Zhang Z. (PR)Carballes Baena R. (Q)2 : 0
    15Zayid M. S. (WC)Popyrin A.0 : 2
    16Machac T.Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Royer V.2 : 0
    2Fucsovics M.Khachanov K. (7)1 : 2
    3Medvedev D. (4)Tsitsipas S.0 : 2
    4Marozsan F.Rublev A. (5)0 : 2
    5Lehecka J. (8)Bergs Z.2 : 0
    6Fils A.Halys Q.2 : 0
    7Mensik J. (6)Zhang Z.2 : 0
    8Popyrin A.Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Khachanov K. (7)2 : 1
    2Tsitsipas S.Rublev A. (5)0 : 2
    3Lehecka J. (8)Fils A.0 : 2
    4Mensik J. (6)Sinner J. (2)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Rublev A. (5)2 : 0
    2Fils A.Mensik J. (6)2 : 0

    Final
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Fils A.2 : 0