Result
3:3
17/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- National League North - Round 27
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 32', 1 - 0, Jones P. ⚽,
- 42', 1 - 1, Popoola A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 60', 2 - 1, Weeks D. ⚽,
- 77', 2 - 2, Calveley M. ⚽,
- 81', 3 - 2, Kelly-Evans D. ⚽,
- 90+4', 3 - 3, Murray-Jones G. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Chester
36.8% | Draw
27% | Chorley
36.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chester has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chester's form might have worsened.Chorley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chester than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chester, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chorley than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
Chester - Chorley Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.49 ↑
(2.19) |
3.37 ↓
(3.72) |
2.54 ↓
(2.85) |
9.3%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Chester - Chorley?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Chester (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chester won 2.
- Chester is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Chorley has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Chorley may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Chester is the team to beat.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Chester won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:17. (average 0.9:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Chester won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 0.7:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Chester won against Chorley?
Chester has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chorley won against Chester?
Chorley has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chester - Chorley were as follows:
16.08.2025
Chorley
-
Chester
3:0
08.03.2025
Chorley
-
Chester
3:2
23.11.2024
Chester
-
Chorley
2:1
23.01.2024
Chorley
-
Chester
0:2
15.08.2023
Chester
-
Chorley
0:0
Latest results of Chester
Latest results of Chorley
English National League North Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | AFC Fylde | 44 | 30 | 4 | 10 | 104:49 | 55 | 94 |
| 2 | South Shields | 43 | 27 | 10 | 6 | 94:40 | 54 | 91 |
| 3 | Kidderminster | 43 | 22 | 12 | 9 | 67:48 | 19 | 78 |
| 4 | Macclesfield | 42 | 23 | 7 | 12 | 78:60 | 18 | 76 |
| 5 | Scarborough | 44 | 18 | 15 | 11 | 58:50 | 8 | 69 |
| 6 | Chester | 44 | 19 | 12 | 13 | 64:63 | 1 | 69 |
| 7 | Darlington | 44 | 20 | 8 | 16 | 76:64 | 12 | 68 |
| 8 | Merthyr Town | 43 | 21 | 4 | 18 | 89:79 | 10 | 67 |
| 9 | Buxton | 43 | 20 | 6 | 17 | 73:58 | 15 | 66 |
| 10 | AFC Telford | 44 | 17 | 13 | 14 | 84:62 | 22 | 64 |
| 11 | Spennymoor | 44 | 18 | 10 | 16 | 59:68 | -9 | 64 |
| 12 | Marine | 42 | 18 | 7 | 17 | 57:63 | -6 | 61 |
| 13 | Radcliffe | 43 | 17 | 6 | 20 | 73:77 | -4 | 57 |
| 14 | Southport | 43 | 15 | 12 | 16 | 61:65 | -4 | 57 |
| 15 | Worksop | 44 | 15 | 9 | 20 | 57:72 | -15 | 54 |
| 16 | Chorley | 44 | 14 | 11 | 19 | 63:63 | 0 | 53 |
| 17 | Bedford | 44 | 13 | 12 | 19 | 64:75 | -11 | 51 |
| 18 | Curzon Ashton | 44 | 13 | 12 | 19 | 64:81 | -17 | 51 |
| 19 | Oxford City | 43 | 13 | 11 | 19 | 56:63 | -7 | 50 |
| 20 | Kingu2019s Lynn | 44 | 12 | 14 | 18 | 55:63 | -8 | 50 |
| 21 | Hereford | 42 | 12 | 9 | 21 | 56:73 | -17 | 45 |
| 22 | Alfreton | 43 | 11 | 12 | 20 | 41:75 | -34 | 45 |
| 23 | Peterborough Sports ✔ | 44 | 10 | 8 | 26 | 49:86 | -37 | 38 |
| 24 | Leamington ✔ | 44 | 7 | 8 | 29 | 38:83 | -45 | 29 |
Promotion ~ National League
Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Peterborough Sports is Relegated to
Leamington is Relegated to
