Stephen Thompson vs Gabriel Bonfim – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

MMA Welterweight UFC Men
Result
Bonfim G. win
12/07/2025 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WELTERWEIGHT - MEN: UFC
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaESPN 2
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 6
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceRMC Sport 1
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 6
norwayNorwayViaplay
polandPolandPolsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
portugalPortugalSport TV1
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
swedenSwedenViaplay
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomTNT Sports 1

Chances of winning


Stephen Thompson
20.7%		Gabriel Bonfim
79.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.1% 75.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Stephen Thompson has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • Gabriel Bonfim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
    •

    Stephen Thompson - Gabriel Bonfim Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 4.64 ↑
    (3.93)
    		1.21 ↓
    (1.25)    		 4.5%
    (5.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • In this match, Bonfim is a strong favorite.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the fighters.
    Latest results of Stephen Thompson
    05.10.2024 Stephen Thompson - Joaquin Buckley Buckley J. - 3rd Round KO ✺
    16.12.2023 Shavkat Rakhmonov - Stephen Thompson Rakhmonov S. - 2nd Round TKO ✺
    29.07.2023 Stephen Thompson - Michel Pereira Canceled ✺
    Latest results of Gabriel Bonfim
    15.02.2025 Gabriel Bonfim - Kalinn Williams Bonfim G. - 2nd Round TKO ✺
    13.07.2024 Gabriel Bonfim - Ange Loosa Bonfim G. win ✺
    04.11.2023 Gabriel Bonfim - Nicholas Dalby Dalby N. - 2nd Round TKO ✺
    29.07.2023 Trevin Giles - Gabriel Bonfim TKO/1:TKO/1 ✺
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