Result
 
                    3:1
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        15/02/2025 at  06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  SPAIN: Liga F Women - Round 19
- Referee: Espinosa A. (Esp)
- Where to Watch on TV: 
                    
|  |  | 
|---|
|  Spain | DAZN Espana | 
 
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
|  |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 3.03 | 1.57 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 57% | 43% | 
| Goal Attempts | 
|---|
| 15 | 16 | 
| Shots on Goal | 
|---|
| 6 | 6 | 
| Shots off Goal | 
|---|
| 8 | 5 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 1 | 5 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 2 | 2 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 0 | 8 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 11 | 12 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 4 | 4 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 3 | 0 | 
| Headed Goals | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 5 | 3 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 11 | 10 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 3 | 0 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 10 | 11 | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 2 | 2 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 23 | 27 | 
| Touches in the Opposition Box | 
|---|
| 26 | 21 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 78% (323/415) | 72% (220/306) | 
| Passes in the final third | 
|---|
| 65% (73/112) | 49% (39/80) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 21% (3/14) | 28% (5/18) | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 74% (17/23) | 79% (19/24) | 
| Clearances Total | 
|---|
| 14 | 17 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 24 | 15 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 3', 1 - 0, Cortes M. ⚽, 
- 32', 2 - 0, Padilla N. ⚽, 
- 33', Gonzalez P. 🟨, 
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Ait El Haj H. ↓, Tamarit S. ↑, 
- 46', Ali A. ↓, Esteve A. ↑, 
- 50', 2 - 1, Mrabet Y. K. ⚽, 
- 53', Florentino C. 🟨, 
- 54', Kanteh Cham F. ↓, Moral L. ↑, 
- 61', Cortes M. ↓, Morcillo R. ↑, 
- 65', Marques A. 🟨, 
- 73', Martin E. ↓, Simon B. ↑, 
- 79', Sullastres E. 🟨, 
- 80', Browne P. (Pen), 
- 84', Padilla N. ↓, Lopez A. ↑, 
- 84', Gonzalez P. ↓, Arnaiz I. ↑, 
- 85', 3 - 1, Morcillo R. ⚽, Gili Giner G. (A), 
- 86', Alguacil A. ↓, Ezekiel M. ↑, 
- 86', Marques A. ↓, Hagg S. ↑, 
  
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | Sevilla 50.3%
 | Draw 26.8%
 | Valencia 22.9%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sevilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sevilla's form might have worsened.Valencia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sevilla than the current prediction. (+9.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sevilla, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valencia than the current prediction. (-5.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Valencia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Sevilla - Valencia Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 1.83 ↑ (1.57)
 | 3.44 ↓ (3.8)
 | 4.02 ↓ (5.06)
 | 8.5% (9.8%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                              - Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Primera Federacion Women).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Sevilla won 2. 
- Recent matches Sevilla is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2). 
- Valencia is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0). 
- Valencia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents. 
- In this match Sevilla is a favorite.
 
- Last 14 head-to-head matches Sevilla won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 23:24 (average 1.6:1.7). 
- Including matches at home between the teams Sevilla won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13:11 (average 1.9:1.6).                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Sevilla won against Valencia?
                    
                    
                        
                            Sevilla has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Valencia won against Sevilla?
                    
                    
                        
                             Valencia has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Sevilla - Valencia were as follows:
                                                        
                                29.09.2024 
                                Valencia 
                                - 
                                Sevilla 
                                1:3
                            
        
                                                        
                                26.05.2024 
                                Valencia 
                                - 
                                Sevilla 
                                3:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                14.10.2023 
                                Sevilla 
                                - 
                                Valencia 
                                1:2
                            
        
                                                        
                                19.05.2023 
                                Sevilla 
                                - 
                                Valencia 
                                2:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                24.09.2022 
                                Valencia 
                                - 
                                Sevilla 
                                2:0
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Sevilla                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Valencia