Result
1:2
04/10/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 1st Division - Round 12
- Referee: Lykke M. (Den)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 1.72 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (262/409) | 60% (214/356) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 1.72 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 1.90 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (262/409) | 60% (214/356) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (30/94) | 23% (18/78) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 51% (82/161) | 46% (43/93) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (7/26) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.84 | 0.47 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 92% (11/12) | 56% (5/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 63 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 52 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.90 | 0.95 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.10 | -0.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 17', 1 - 0, Akale A. ⚽, Vetter J. (A),
- 35', 1 - 1, Mouritz M. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 54', Vetter J. 🟨,
- 65', 1 - 2, Justinussen A. ⚽,
- 67', Kallsberg P. ↓, Arndal T. ↑,
- 68', Boesen M. ↓, Pedersen S. ↑,
- 68', Barholt N. ↓, Jensen L. ↑,
- 73', Dedes V. ↓, Enghardt K. ↑,
- 73', Schmidt N. ↓, Due Grandt M. ↑,
- 80', Vetter J. ↓, Wielzen J. ↑,
- 82', Jalaei S. ↓, Opoku S. ↑,
- 86', Villemoes J. ↓, Boyum Johansen C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Middelfart
28.8% | Draw
25.9% | Hillerød
45.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Middelfart has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)Hillerød has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Middelfart than the current prediction. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hillerød than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
Middelfart - Hillerød Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.23 ↓
(3.43) |
3.58 ↓
(3.94) |
2.09 ↑
(1.93) |
6.7%
(6.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Middelfart - Hillerød?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Hillerød (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Hillerød will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 12 in the zone 1st Division (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )).
- Middelfart has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Hillerød has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Hillerød may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Hillerød could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Middelfart won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 1:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Middelfart won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1.5:2.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Middelfart won against Hillerød?
Middelfart has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hillerød won against Middelfart?
Hillerød has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Middelfart - Hillerød were as follows:
19.07.2025
Hillerød
-
Middelfart
2:1
Latest results of Middelfart
Latest results of Hillerød
Danish 1 Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hillerod | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 21:17 | 4 | 24 |
| 2 | Lyngby | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 27:16 | 11 | 23 |
| 3 | Horsens | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 16:9 | 7 | 22 |
| 4 | Hvidovre IF | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 18:15 | 3 | 21 |
| 5 | Aalborg | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 22:17 | 5 | 18 |
| 6 | Kolding IF | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 17:15 | 2 | 18 |
| 7 | B.93 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 18 |
| 8 | Aarhus Fremad | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 24:19 | 5 | 17 |
| 9 | Esbjerg | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15:18 | -3 | 17 |
| 10 | Koge | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 14:24 | -10 | 13 |
| 11 | Hobro | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 14:22 | -8 | 12 |
| 12 | Middelfart | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 11:23 | -12 | 8 |
Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )
1st Division (Relegation Group: )
