Tatjana Maria vs Caty McNally – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Newport Challenger Women Tatjana Maria - Caty McNally
Result
1:2
13/07/2025 at 14:50 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Newport, grass - Final

Match Stats

Aces
80
Double Faults
03
1st Serve Percentage
66%79%
1st Serve Points Won
72% (36/50)66% (44/67)
2nd Serve Points Won
46% (12/26)56% (10/18)
Break Points Saved
25% (1/4)60% (3/5)
1st Return Points Won
34% (23/67)28% (14/50)
2nd Return Points Won
44% (8/18)54% (14/26)
Break Points Converted
40% (2/5)75% (3/4)
Service Points Won
63% (48/76)64% (54/85)
Return Points Won
36% (31/85)37% (28/76)
Total Points Won
49% (79/161)51% (82/161)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
77% (10/13)85% (11/13)
Return Games Won
15% (2/13)23% (3/13)
Total Games Won
46% (12/26)54% (14/26)

Chances of winning


Tatjana Maria
57.4%
Caty McNally
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.8% 46.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7% 46.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tatjana Maria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • Caty McNally has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tatjana Maria than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caty McNally than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • Tatjana Maria - Caty McNally Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.65
    (1.73)

    2.21
    (2.02)
    5.9%
    (7.4%)
    What is the prediction for Tatjana Maria - Caty McNally?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Maria will win (votes: 7 - 70%). McNally will win (votes: 3 - 30%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Maria: 41.6%98.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. McNally (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Maria is ranked WTA: 45. McNally is ranked WTA: 208.
    • Right now, both players are showing solid form.
    • Maria may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Tatjana Maria
    Latest results of Caty McNally
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Maria T. (1)Cross K.2 : 0
    2McHale C. (WC)Miyazaki L.1 : 2
    3Chang H.Ishii S.1 : 2
    4Bektas E.Aiava D. (5)1 : 2
    5Fruhvirtova L. (4)Kalieva E.0 : 2
    6Zhao C.Ma Y.2 : 0
    7Lincer O. (Q)Smith A. (Q)1 : 2
    8Mateas M.Hartono A. (7)0 : 2
    9Bolkvadze M. (8)Akli A.2 : 0
    10McNally C.Vidmanova D.2 : 0
    11Sebov K.Yamalapalli S.0 : 2
    12Hule P. (Q)Gibson T. (3)0 : 2
    13Stefanini L. (6)Ma L. (WC)2 : 1
    14Rogers A. S.Bouchard E. (WC)2 : 0
    15Mandlik E.Kung L.2 : 0
    16Giavara H. (Q)Shibahara E. (2)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Maria T. (1)Miyazaki L.2 : 0
    2Ishii S.Aiava D. (5)2 : 1
    3Kalieva E.Zhao C.1 : 2
    4Smith A.Hartono A. (7)2 : 1
    5Bolkvadze M. (8)McNally C.0 : 2
    6Yamalapalli S.Gibson T. (3)0 : 2
    7Stefanini L. (6)Rogers A. S.2 : 0
    8Mandlik E.Giavara H.2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Maria T. (1)Ishii S.2 : 0
    2Zhao C.Smith A.2 : 0
    3McNally C.Gibson T. (3)2 : 1
    4Stefanini L. (6)Mandlik E.0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Maria T. (1)Zhao C.2 : 0
    2McNally C.Mandlik E.2 : 1

    Final
    1Maria T. (1)McNally C.1 : 2