South Africa W vs Mali W, Africa Cup of Nations Women – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Africa Cup of Nations Women South Africa W - Mali W
Result
4:0
14/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Africa Cup of Nations Women - Round 3
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport App, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Maximo 3
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
brazilBrazilBandSports
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
ghanaGhanaGTV Sports Plus
hong-kongHong-kongNow Player
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, Vidio
kenyaKenyaGotv
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect
moroccoMoroccoArryadia TNT, SNRT Live
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport LaLiga, Supersport Maximo 1
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
portugalPortugalSport TV1
south-africaSouth-africaSABC 3, SABC Plus, Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport PSL
thailandThailandbeIN Sports 2
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.730.37
Ball Possession
64%36%
Total shots
1411
Shots on target
85
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
35
Passes
81% (361/445)64% (161/250)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.730.37
xG on target (xGOT)
2.650.28
Total shots
1411
Shots on target
85
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
126
Shots outside the Box
24
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
35
Touches in opposition box
2621
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
98
Passes
81% (361/445)64% (161/250)
Long passes
42% (24/57)23% (12/53)
Passes in final third
60% (55/91)40% (34/85)
Crosses
22% (4/18)29% (4/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.950.38
Throw-ins
3835
Fouls
89
Tackles
61% (14/23)70% (16/23)
Duels won
4448
Clearances
2837
Interceptions
810
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
02
Goalkeeper Saves
54
xGOT faced
0.282.65
Goals prevented
0.28-1.35

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Ramalepe L. ,
  • 30', Konte K. 🟨,
  • 32', 2 - 0, Jane R. ,
  • 45', Motau A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Seoposenwe J. , Salgado G. ,
  • 46', Jane R. , Mogolola R. ,
  • 46', Motau A. , Holweni S. ,
  • 46', Karentao F. , Cisse A. ,
  • 46', Sissoko T. , Dembele F. ,
  • 61', 3 - 0, Magaia H. , Dhlamini K. (A),
  • 66', Niakate F. , Diabate K. ,
  • 66', Dembele C. , Diarra A. ,
  • 69', Magaia H. , Donnelly R. ,
  • 75', Motlhalo L. , Mthandi N. ,
  • 79', 4 - 0, Donnelly R. , Mthandi N. (A),

Chances of winning


South Africa W
58.9%
Draw
26.5%
Mali W
14.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.5% 25.3% 14.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • South Africa W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • Mali W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • South Africa W - Mali W Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.56
    (1.51)
    3.47
    (3.61)
    6.33
    (6.41)
    8.6%
    (9.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for South Africa W - Mali W?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. South Africa will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. South Africa (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In recent matches, Mali has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, South Africa is the clear favorite.
    • We predict that South Africa will win today's game, with odds of 1.55.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, South Africa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    Latest results of South Africa W
    Latest results of Mali W
    11.07.2025 Ghana W - Mali W 1:1
    07.07.2025 Mali W - Tanzania W 1:0
    31.05.2025 Mali W - Liberia W 0:1
    29.05.2025 Mali W - Sierra Leone W 0:1
    24.05.2025 Guinea Bissau W - Mali W 1:4
    Draw
    Final tournament

    Quarter-finals
    1Morocco W (A1)Mali W (C3)3 : 1
    2Algeria W (B2)Ghana W (C2)0 : 1
    3Nigeria W (B1)Zambia W (A2)5 : 0
    4South Africa W (C1)Senegal W (A3)1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Morocco W (A1)Ghana W (C2)
    2Nigeria W (B1)South Africa W (C1)

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2

    3rd place