Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Tennis ATP Bastad Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Result
2:1
14/07/2025 at 05:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Bastad - Qualification, clay - Final
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
21
Double Faults
22
1st Serve Percentage
72%70%
1st Serve Points Won
70% (61/87)75% (43/57)
2nd Serve Points Won
47% (16/34)56% (14/25)
Break Points Saved
73% (8/11)50% (2/4)
1st Return Points Won
25% (14/57)30% (26/87)
2nd Return Points Won
44% (11/25)53% (18/34)
Break Points Converted
50% (2/4)27% (3/11)
Winners
3334
Unforced Errors
4037
Net Points Won
60% (15/25)86% (18/21)
Service Points Won
63% (76/120)69% (56/81)
Return Points Won
31% (25/81)37% (44/120)
Total Points Won
50% (101/201)50% (100/201)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
81% (13/16)86% (12/14)
Return Games Won
14% (2/14)19% (3/16)
Total Games Won
50% (15/30)50% (15/30)

Chances of winning


Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
36.7%
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
63.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45% 55%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8% 52.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nicolai Budkov Kjaer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nicolai Budkov Kjaer's form might have worsened.
  • Pablo Llamas Ruiz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pablo Llamas Ruiz's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolai Budkov Kjaer than the current prediction. (+11.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nicolai Budkov Kjaer, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pablo Llamas Ruiz than the current prediction. (-11.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pablo Llamas Ruiz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Pablo Llamas Ruiz Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.57
    (2.03)

    1.49
    (1.66)
    5.9%
    (9.5%)
    Preview Facts
    • Budkov Kjaer is ranked ATP: 303. Llamas Ruiz is ranked ATP: 573.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Budkov Kjaer may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Bye
    2Barrios Vera T.Navone M.
    3Gaston H.Tseng C. H.
    4Ofner S.Dzumhur D. (7)
    5Baez S. (4)Bye
    6Monteiro T. (Q)Budkov Kjaer N. (Q)
    7Ymer E. (WC)Boyer T.
    8Collignon R.Darderi L. (6)1 : 2
    9Ugo Carabelli C. (5)Garin C.
    10Ymer M. (WC)Van De Zandschulp B.
    11Misolic F. (Q)Moller E.
    12ByeBorges N. (3)
    13Kopriva V. (8)Dellien H.
    14Rejchtman Vinciguerra W. (WC)De Jong J.0 : 2
    15Pellegrino A. (Q)Faria J.
    16ByeGriekspoor T. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3Baez S. (4)TBD #6
    4TBD #7Darderi L. (6)
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11Borges N. (3)
    7TBD #13De Jong J.
    8TBD #15Griekspoor T. (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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