Max Holloway vs Dustin Poirier – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

20/07/2025 at 00:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Smoothie King Center (New Orleans, LA).

LIGHTWEIGHT - MEN: UFC BMF Title
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	RMC Sport 1
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 8
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	Sport TV1
Slovakia	Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay
Ukraine	Setanta Sports
United-kingdom	TNT Sports 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+

Chances of winning

Max Holloway
53.4%

Dustin Poirier
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.1%

47.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Max Holloway has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Dustin Poirier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Max Holloway - Dustin Poirier Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.82)		2.04 ↑ (1.98)	4.6% (5.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

What is the prediction for Max Holloway - Dustin Poirier?

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Holloway will win (votes: 14 - 70%). Poirier will win (votes: 6 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Holloway: 49.9% – 90.1%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Holloway (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Poirier (votes: 5 - 41.7%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is .

Preview Facts

Holloway Max defending title.
The chances of victory for both fighters are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Holloway won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

How many head-to-head matches has Max Holloway won against Dustin Poirier?

Max Holloway has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Dustin Poirier won against Max Holloway?

Dustin Poirier has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Max Holloway - Dustin Poirier were as follows:

Latest results of Max Holloway

26.10.2024 Ilia Topuria - Max Holloway Topuria I. - 3rd Round TKO ✺

13.04.2024 Justin Gaethje - Max Holloway Holloway M. - 5th Round KO ✺

26.08.2023 Max Holloway - Chan Sung Jung KO/3:KO/3 ✺

Latest results of Dustin Poirier

02.06.2024 Islam Makhachev - Dustin Poirier Makhachev I. - 5th Round TKO ✺

09.03.2024 Dustin Poirier - Benoit Saint-Denis Poirier D. - 2nd Round KO ✺

30.07.2023 Dustin Poirier - Justin Gaethje KO/2:KO/2 ✺