Max Holloway vs Dustin Poirier – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
Holloway M. win
20/07/2025 at 00:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LIGHTWEIGHT - MEN: UFC BMF Title
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 2
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 6
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceRMC Sport 1
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 8
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandPolsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
portugalPortugalSport TV1
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
swedenSwedenViaplay
ukraineUkraineSetanta Sports
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomTNT Sports 1
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Chances of winning


Max Holloway
53.4%
Dustin Poirier
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.1% 47.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Max Holloway has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • Dustin Poirier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • Max Holloway - Dustin Poirier Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.8
    (1.82)

    2.04
    (1.98)
    4.6%
    (5.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 4.50
    Preview Facts
    • Holloway Max defending title.
    • The chances of victory for both fighters are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Holloway won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    Latest results of Max Holloway
    26.10.2024 Ilia Topuria - Max Holloway Topuria I. - 3rd Round TKO
    13.04.2024 Justin Gaethje - Max Holloway Holloway M. - 5th Round KO
    26.08.2023 Max Holloway - Chan Sung Jung KO/3:KO/3
    Latest results of Dustin Poirier
    02.06.2024 Islam Makhachev - Dustin Poirier Makhachev I. - 5th Round TKO
    09.03.2024 Dustin Poirier - Benoit Saint-Denis Poirier D. - 2nd Round KO
    30.07.2023 Dustin Poirier - Justin Gaethje KO/2:KO/2