Referência U20 vs União São João U20 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Paulista U20 Referência U20 - União São João U20
Result
2:1
17/07/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Paulista U20 - Round 12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 45+1', 1 - 0, Fonseca Von Beust L. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 49', 2 - 0, ,
  • 62', 2 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Referência U20
48%
Draw
25.7%
União São João U20
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.7% 24% 30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4% 23.1% 29.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Referência U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • União São João U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Referência U20 than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for União São João U20 than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • Referência U20 - União São João U20 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.9
    (2.02)
    3.54
    (3.85)
    3.46
    (3.05)
    9.9%
    (8.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • Preview Facts
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Referência U20 is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Referência U20
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Palmeiras U20Sertaozinho U202 : 0, 2 : 0
    2Portuguesa U20Referencia U201 : 2, 0 : 0
    3RB Bragantino U20Itapirense U206 : 1, 3 : 1
    4Novorizontino U20Botafogo SP U201 : 3, 0 : 2
    5Guarani U20Desportivo U202 : 0, 1 : 0
    6CA Juventus U20Gremio Prudente U200 : 1, 0 : 2
    7Ituano U20Sao Caetano U203 : 0, 1 : 0
    8Ponte Preta U20Capivariano U201 : 0, 0 : 0
    9Sao Paulo U20Maua U202 : 0, 2 : 2
    10Santo Andre U20Oeste U201 : 4, 2 : 2
    11Ibrachina U20Osasco Audax U206 : 0, 4 : 0
    12Ferroviaria U20Mirassol U204 : 2, 2 : 2
    13EC Sao Bernardo U20Inter de Limeira U201 : 1, 1 : 0
    14Uniao Suzano U20XV de Jau U204 : 2, 1 : 2
    15Santos U20Portuguesa Santista U203 : 0, 2 : 1
    16Corinthians U20Piracicaba U203 : 1, 1 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Palmeiras U20Referencia U203 : 0, 2 : 0
    2RB Bragantino U20Botafogo SP U201 : 2, 0 : 2
    3Guarani U20Gremio Prudente U202 : 2, 3 : 0
    4Ituano U20Ponte Preta U201 : 2, 1 : 1
    5Sao Paulo U20Oeste U204 : 2, 0 : 0
    6Ibrachina U20Ferroviaria U200 : 1, 0 : 0
    7EC Sao Bernardo U20Uniao Suzano U203 : 1, 0 : 1
    8Santos U20Corinthians U203 : 1, 0 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Palmeiras U20Botafogo SP U20
    2Guarani U20Ponte Preta U20
    3Sao Paulo U20Ferroviaria U20
    4EC Sao Bernardo U20Santos U20