Result
0:2
15/07/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Pozoblanco, hard - 1/16-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 56% | 64% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 58% (19/33) | 79% (22/28) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 42% (11/26) | 75% (12/16) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 33% (2/6) | 0% (0/0) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 21% (6/28) | 42% (14/33) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 58% (15/26) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 0% (0/0) | 67% (4/6) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 37 | 14 |
| Net Points Won |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 57% (4/7) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 51% (30/59) | 77% (34/44) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 23% (10/44) | 49% (29/59) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 39% (40/103) | 61% (63/103) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 100% (8/8) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 0% (0/8) | 44% (4/9) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 29% (5/17) | 71% (12/17) |
Chances of winning
Mateus Alves
34.2% | Edward Winter
65.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mateus Alves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)Edward Winter has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mateus Alves than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mateus Alves that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Edward Winter than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Edward Winter could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Mateus Alves - Edward Winter Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.73 ↓
(2.89) |
|
1.43 ↑
(1.41) |
6.9%
(5.5%) | |
What is the prediction for Mateus Alves - Edward Winter?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Alves will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Winter will win (votes: 3 - 60%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Alves is ranked ATP: 356. Winter is ranked ATP: 609.
- In recent matches, Alves has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Winter is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Winter may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Winter is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- We predict that Winter will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.
- The players have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Mateus Alves won against Edward Winter?
Mateus Alves has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Edward Winter won against Mateus Alves?
Edward Winter has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mateus Alves - Edward Winter were as follows:
Latest results of Mateus Alves
Latest results of Edward Winter
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Grenier H. (1) | Shelbayh A. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Alves M. | Winter E. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Sanchez Izquierdo N. | Elias G. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Cejudo M. (WC) | Crawford O. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Monday J. (4) | Andaloro F. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Soto M. | Martineau M. | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Jodar R. (WC) | Alvarez Varona N. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Bertrand R. (Alt) | Merida Aguilar D. (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Sultanov K. (7) | Purtseladze S. | 2 : 1 |
| 10 | Pereira T. (Alt) | Lopez Escribano A. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Cui J. | Butvilas E. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Added D. | Moro Canas A. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Sun F. (6) | Escoffier A. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Blanch Dar. (Q) | Martinez A. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Shah A. (Q) | Coulibaly E. | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Peniston R. (Q) | Kukushkin M. (2) | 2 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Grenier H. (1) | Winter E. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Elias G. | Crawford O. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Monday J. (4) | Soto M. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Jodar R. | Merida Aguilar D. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Sultanov K. (7) | Pereira T. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Butvilas E. | Moro Canas A. (3) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Sun F. (6) | Blanch Dar. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Shah A. | Peniston R. | 2 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Grenier H. (1) | Crawford O. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Monday J. (4) | Merida Aguilar D. (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Pereira T. | Butvilas E. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Sun F. (6) | Shah A. | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Crawford O. (8) | Merida Aguilar D. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Pereira T. | Sun F. (6) | 1 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Merida Aguilar D. (5) | Sun F. (6) | 2 : 0 |
