Result
3:1
16/07/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL League One
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.84 | 0.64 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 32% | 68% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (179/247) | 88% (476/539) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.84 | 0.64 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.42 | 0.98 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (179/247) | 88% (476/539) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (19/51) | 54% (25/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (40/68) | 70% (90/129) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (4/13) | 29% (5/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.20 | 1.11 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 33 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 78% (7/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.98 | 2.42 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.02 | -0.58 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 6', Doyle M. ↓, Rosamilia N. ↑,
- 22', 1 - 0, Brown J. ⚽, Rosamilia N. (A),
- 35', Blancas E. 🟨,
- 37', Ritchie S. ↓, Martin H. ↑,
- 42', Pajaro M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 62', Skelton J. 🟨,
- 63', Ortiz C. ↓, Martinez W. ↑,
- 63', Robledo H. ↓, Alaribe E. ↑,
- 68', 1 - 1, Martinez W. ⚽, Aoumaich A. (A),
- 71', Zarokostas S. ↓, Smith K. ↑,
- 71', Goling M. ↓, Johnson C. ↑,
- 72', Caputo A. ↓, Haugli S. ↑,
- 81', 2 - 1, Johnson C. ⚽, Kelly-Rosales A. (A),
- 85', Aoumaich A. ↓, Apollon A. ↑,
- 89', Ramos S. ↓, Ceja E. ↑,
- 90+2', 3 - 1, Rosamilia N. ⚽,
- 90+5', Martinez W. 🟨,
Chances of winning
One Knoxville
44.5% | Draw
26.4% | AV Alta
29.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
One Knoxville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)AV Alta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for One Knoxville than the current prediction. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for AV Alta than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
One Knoxville - AV Alta Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.06 ↑
(1.97) |
3.47 ↑
(3.36) |
3.14 ↓
(3.39) |
9.3%
(10%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: )).
- One Knoxville has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Alta is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- One Knoxville may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, One Knoxville is seen as the favorite.
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has One Knoxville won against AV Alta?
One Knoxville has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AV Alta won against One Knoxville?
AV Alta has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between One Knoxville - AV Alta were as follows:
Latest results of One Knoxville
Latest results of AV Alta
USL League One Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 26:16 | 10 | 30 |
| 2 | Spokane Velocity | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 22:15 | 7 | 29 |
| 3 | Charlotte Independ | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 27:22 | 5 | 27 |
| 4 | AV Alta | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 27:21 | 6 | 26 |
| 5 | One Knoxville | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21:14 | 7 | 24 |
| 6 | FC Naples | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 22:20 | 2 | 23 |
| 7 | Texoma | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20:26 | -6 | 20 |
| 8 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 15 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 18:16 | 2 | 20 |
| 9 | Greenville | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 21:23 | -2 | 19 |
| 10 | Richmond Kickers | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 24:28 | -4 | 16 |
| 11 | Forward Madison | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 14:17 | -3 | 16 |
| 12 | Tormenta | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 20:29 | -9 | 15 |
| 13 | Westchester SC | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 25:33 | -8 | 15 |
| 14 | Union Omaha | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 17:24 | -7 | 14 |
Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: )
