Result
2:1
06/03/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie A - Round 28
- Referee: Fabbri M. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | SuperSport Football |
 Albania | Tring Sport 1 |
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 2 |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 3 |
 Canada | DAZN Canada, FuboTV |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | ESPN |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4 |
 Czech-republic | Oneplay, Sport 1 |
 Denmark | TV2 Play |
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2 |
 France | DAZN France |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 2 |
 Haiti | Tele Haiti |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player |
 Indonesia | Vidio |
 Italy | 214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kuwait | Shasha |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 3 |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 3 |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | VG+ |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 2 |
 Portugal | Sport TV4 |
 Romania | Prima Sport 2, Prima TV |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Saudi-arabia | STC TV |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1 |
 Slovakia | Sport 1 |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 3 |
 South-korea | SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2 |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
 Thailand | True ID, True Premier Football 3 |
 Tunisia | Diwan Sport |
 Turkey | S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport |
 United-kingdom | DAZN |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | ON Football, ON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab |
 World | Starzplay Sports app |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 0.37 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (542/621) | 78% (271/346) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 0.37 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.87 | 1.33 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (542/621) | 78% (271/346) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (15/42) | 42% (28/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (98/145) | 51% (37/72) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 43% (6/14) | 13% (1/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 0.89 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (6/10) | 47% (9/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 33 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.33 | 1.87 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.33 | -0.13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 7', 1 - 0, Alisson Santos ⚽, Spinazzola L. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Vergara A. ↓, Anguissa F. ↑,
- 57', Zapata D. ↓, Adams C. ↑,
- 57', Obrador R. ↓, Pedersen M. ↑,
- 63', Gineitis G. 🟨,
- 64', Ismajli A. 🟨,
- 67', Simeone G. ↓, Kulenovic S. ↑,
- 67', Gineitis G. ↓, Casadei C. ↑,
- 68', 2 - 0, Elmas E. ⚽, Politano M. (A),
- 69', Spinazzola L. ↓, Gutierrez M. ↑,
- 73', Lazaro V. 🟨,
- 78', Prati M. ↓, Anjorin F. ↑,
- 79', Alisson Santos ↓, De Bruyne K. ↑,
- 84', Politano M. ↓, Mazzocchi P. ↑,
- 84', Hojlund R. ↓, Lukaku R. ↑,
- 87', 2 - 1, Casadei C. ⚽, Adams C. (A),
Chances of winning
Napoli
61.6% | Draw
24.5% | Torino
13.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Napoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)Torino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (+7.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Napoli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torino than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Napoli - Torino Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.56 ↑
(1.45) |
3.89 ↓
(4.34) |
6.85 ↓
(7.76) |
4.6%
(5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Napoli - Torino?
Users Predictions:
66 users predict this event. Napoli will win (votes: 62 - 93.9%). Torino will win (votes: 2 - 3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Napoli: 88.1% – 99.7%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Napoli (1.98) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -1.5 - Torino (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- EH -1 - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Napoli will win (21 of 22 users predict this - 95.45%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 28 high ROI users predict this event. Napoli (votes: 26 - 92.9%). Torino (votes: 2 - 7.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Napoli won 2.
- Recent performances by Napoli have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Torino's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Napoli is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Napoli: David Neres
(Ankle Injury)
Di Lorenzo G.
(Knee Injury)
McTominay S.
(Muscle Injury)
Rrahmani A.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Torino: Savva Z.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Napoli: Anguissa F.
(Thigh Injury)
De Bruyne K.
(Thigh Injury)
Lobotka S.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Torino: Aboukhlal Z.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Napoli won 13 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 38:16. (average 1.9:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Napoli won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:9. (average 1.9:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Napoli won against Torino?
Napoli has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Torino won against Napoli?
Torino has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Napoli - Torino were as follows:
18.10.2025
Torino
-
Napoli
1:0
27.04.2025
Napoli
-
Torino
2:0
01.12.2024
Torino
-
Napoli
0:1
08.03.2024
Napoli
-
Torino
1:1
07.01.2024
Torino
-
Napoli
3:0
Italian Serie A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter | 29 | 22 | 2 | 5 | 65:23 | 42 | 68 |
| 2 | AC Milan | 29 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 44:21 | 23 | 60 |
| 3 | Napoli | 29 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 45:30 | 15 | 59 |
| 4 | Como | 29 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 48:22 | 26 | 54 |
| 5 | Juventus | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 51:28 | 23 | 53 |
| 6 | AS Roma | 29 | 16 | 3 | 10 | 39:23 | 16 | 51 |
| 7 | Atalanta | 29 | 12 | 11 | 6 | 40:27 | 13 | 47 |
| 8 | Bologna | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 38:34 | 4 | 42 |
| 9 | Lazio | 29 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 29:28 | 1 | 40 |
| 10 | Sassuolo | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 35:39 | -4 | 38 |
| 11 | Udinese | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 33:42 | -9 | 36 |
| 12 | Parma | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 21:36 | -15 | 34 |
| 13 | Genoa | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 36:40 | -4 | 33 |
| 14 | Torino | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 32:50 | -18 | 33 |
| 15 | Cagliari | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 31:41 | -10 | 30 |
| 16 | Fiorentina | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 34:43 | -9 | 28 |
| 17 | Lecce | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 21:39 | -18 | 27 |
| 18 | Cremonese | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 23:44 | -21 | 24 |
| 19 | Pisa | 29 | 2 | 12 | 15 | 23:49 | -26 | 18 |
| 20 | Verona | 29 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 22:51 | -29 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Serie B
