Bristol Rovers vs Exeter City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

12/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Memorial Stadium (Bristol).

League One - Round 42
Referee: Russell M. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.01	0.81
Ball Possession
56%	44%
Total shots
15	5
Shots on target
2	3
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
8	1
Passes
69% (268/386)	68% (209/307)
Yellow Cards
1	4
Expected Goals (xG)
1.01	0.81
xG on target (xGOT)
0.62	0.82
Total shots
15	5
Shots on target
2	3
Shots off target
6	1
Blocked Shots
7	1
Shots inside the Box
9	5
Shots outside the Box
6	0
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
8	1
Touches in opposition box
23	16
Offsides
1	3
Free Kicks
15	13
Passes
69% (268/386)	68% (209/307)
Long passes
41% (28/68)	29% (24/84)
Passes in final third
53% (78/148)	44% (40/91)
Crosses
29% (7/24)	29% (2/7)
Expected assists (xA)
0.93	1.07
Fouls
13	15
Tackles
36% (5/14)	56% (10/18)
Duels won
65	46
Clearances Total
13	40
Interceptions
6	13
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
1	1
xGOT faced
0.82	0.62
Goals prevented
-1.18	-0.38

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 2)
11', 0 - 1, Watts C. ⚽,
32', McDonald K. 🟨,
42', 0 - 2, Cole R. ⚽, McMillan J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ward G. ↓, Thomas L. ↑,
46', Butcher M. ↓, Hutchinson I. ↑,
56', Watts C. 🟨,
58', Cole R. ↓, Colwill J. ↑,
58', McDonald K. ↓, Woods R. ↑,
58', Yogane T. ↓, Harper V. ↑,
69', Swinkels S. ↓, Sinclair S. ↑,
69', O'Donkor G. ↓, Dewsbury O. ↑,
70', 1 - 2, Sotiriou R. ⚽,
74', Watts C. ↓, Francis E. ↑,
79', Whitworth J. 🟨,
85', Cox S. ↓, MacDonald A. ↑,
87', McMillan J. 🟨,
90+1', Sawyers R. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Bristol Rovers
42.9%

Draw
30%

Exeter City
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.7%

26.9%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

24.9%

39.3%

Bristol Rovers - Exeter City Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (3.05)	3.14 ↓ (3.49)	3.44 ↑ (2.21)	6.3% (6.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Bristol Rovers - Exeter City?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH 0 - Bristol Rovers (1.57) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DNB - Bristol Rovers (1.59) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH +0.25 - Bristol Rovers (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Bristol Rovers will win (58 of 65 users predict this - 89.23%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.69% – 96.77%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Bristol Rovers will win (30 of 33 users predict this - 90.91%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 40 high ROI users predict this event. Bristol Rovers (votes: 37 - 92.5%). Exeter (votes: 2 - 5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 2.5%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 and 15).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Bristol Rovers won 1.
Bristol Rovers has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Exeter is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Bristol Rovers could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Bristol Rovers will have a mini benefit in this match.
There will not play in Bristol Rovers: Conteh K. (Knee Injury) Martin C. (Injury) Omochere P. (Injury)
There will not play in Exeter: Mitchell D. (Knee Injury) Sweeney P. (Calf Injury) Trevitt R. (Hamstring Injury) Wildschut Y. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Bristol Rovers: Senior J. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Exeter: Yfeko J. (Inactive)
Last 17 head-to-head matches Bristol Rovers won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 25:35 (average 1.5:2.1).
Including matches at home between the teams Bristol Rovers won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13:15 (average 1.6:1.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Bristol Rovers won against Exeter City?

Bristol Rovers has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Exeter City won against Bristol Rovers?

Exeter City has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Bristol Rovers - Exeter City were as follows:

26.12.2024 Exeter City - Bristol Rovers 3:1

29.10.2024 Bristol Rovers - Exeter City 2:3

03.02.2024 Exeter City - Bristol Rovers 0:1

23.01.2024 Bristol Rovers - Exeter City 0:1

29.12.2022 Bristol Rovers - Exeter City 3:4

Latest results of Bristol Rovers

05.04.2025 Bolton Wanderers - Bristol Rovers 1:0 ✺

01.04.2025 Bristol Rovers - Birmingham City 1:2 ✺

29.03.2025 Bristol Rovers - Mansfield Town 1:2 ✺

22.03.2025 Crawley Town - Bristol Rovers 1:0 ✺

15.03.2025 Lincoln City - Bristol Rovers 5:0 ✺

Latest results of Exeter City

08.04.2025 Exeter City - Wigan Athletic 1:1 ✺

05.04.2025 Exeter City - Stockport County 0:2 ✺

01.04.2025 Barnsley - Exeter City 1:2 ✺

29.03.2025 Exeter City - Wrexham 0:2 ✺

22.03.2025 Lincoln City - Exeter City 0:0 ✺

English League One Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Cardiff	30	19	6	5	55:29	26	63
2	Lincoln	30	18	7	5	52:30	22	61
3	Bolton	31	15	10	6	41:29	12	55
4	Stockport County	30	15	8	7	42:35	7	53
5	Huddersfield	31	14	7	10	53:42	11	49
6	Bradford City	29	14	7	8	37:33	4	49
7	Luton	30	13	6	11	40:35	5	45
8	Peterborough	31	14	2	15	45:41	4	44
9	Wycombe	30	11	10	9	40:31	9	43
10	Reading	30	11	10	9	43:39	4	43
11	Stevenage	29	11	9	9	31:30	1	42
12	Mansfield	29	10	9	10	37:32	5	39
13	Exeter	29	11	5	13	33:30	3	38
14	AFC Wimbledon	29	11	5	13	32:38	-6	38
15	Barnsley	27	10	7	10	44:46	-2	37
16	Plymouth	30	11	4	15	37:46	-9	37
17	Blackpool	30	9	6	15	37:44	-7	33
18	Leyton Orient	30	9	6	15	40:49	-9	33
19	Northampton	30	9	6	15	29:39	-10	33
20	Doncaster	30	9	6	15	33:50	-17	33
21	Burton	30	8	8	14	33:45	-12	32
22	Wigan	30	7	10	13	31:42	-11	31
23	Rotherham	29	8	7	14	31:43	-12	31
24	Port Vale	28	5	7	16	22:40	-18	22

      Promotion ~ Championship
      Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ League Two