Tristan Schoolkate vs Denis Shapovalov – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Los Cabos Tristan Schoolkate - Denis Shapovalov
Result
0:2
17/07/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Los Cabos, hard - Quarter-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliabeIN Sports 1
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 1
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 4
polandPolandPolsat Sport 2
portugalPortugalSport TV2
romaniaRomaniaDigi Sport 2, Prima Sport PPV 1
swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1, TV4 Tennis
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports Tennis, Sky Sports+

Match Stats

Aces
210
Double Faults
54
1st Serve Percentage
32%65%
1st Serve Points Won
59% (10/17)69% (25/36)
2nd Serve Points Won
47% (17/36)63% (12/19)
Break Points Saved
0% (0/4)50% (1/2)
1st Return Points Won
31% (11/36)41% (7/17)
2nd Return Points Won
37% (7/19)53% (19/36)
Break Points Converted
50% (1/2)100% (4/4)
Winners
426
Unforced Errors
2035
Net Points Won
67% (2/3)100% (9/9)
Service Points Won
51% (27/53)67% (37/55)
Return Points Won
33% (18/55)49% (26/53)
Total Points Won
42% (45/108)58% (63/108)
Last 10 Balls
28
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
50% (4/8)89% (8/9)
Return Games Won
11% (1/9)50% (4/8)
Total Games Won
29% (5/17)71% (12/17)

Chances of winning


Tristan Schoolkate
31%
Denis Shapovalov
69%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.6% 66.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6% 61.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tristan Schoolkate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • Denis Shapovalov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tristan Schoolkate than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tristan Schoolkate, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Denis Shapovalov than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Denis Shapovalov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Tristan Schoolkate - Denis Shapovalov Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.11
    (2.73)

    1.38
    (1.38)
    4.5%
    (9.1%)
    What is the prediction for Tristan Schoolkate - Denis Shapovalov?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Schoolkate will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Shapovalov will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Schoolkate is ranked ATP: 110. Shapovalov is ranked ATP: 33.
    • Schoolkate is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Shapovalov's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Schoolkate may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Shapovalov is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Tristan Schoolkate
    Latest results of Denis Shapovalov
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Rublev A. (1)Bye
    2Daniel T.Hernandez A. (WC)1 : 2
    3Vukic A.Nava E.0 : 2
    4Magadan A. (Q)Bu Y. (6)0 : 2
    5Halys Q. (4)Bye
    6Kachmazov A.Ficovich J. P.0 : 2
    7McCabe J.Alvarez Valdes L. C. (WC)0 : 2
    8Habib H.Kovacevic A. (7)1 : 2
    9Altmaier D. (5)Krueger M.2 : 0
    10Wu Y. (Q)Schoolkate T.1 : 2
    11Smith C.Nanda G. (Q)0 : 2
    12ByeShapovalov D. (3)
    13Walton A. (8)Pacheco Mendez R. (WC)2 : 0
    14Mejia N. (Q)Basavareddy N.0 : 2
    15Duckworth J.Mannarino A.2 : 0
    16ByeDavidovich Fokina A. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Rublev A. (1)Hernandez A.2 : 0
    2Nava E.Bu Y. (6)2 : 1
    3Halys Q. (4)Ficovich J. P.1 : 2
    4Alvarez Valdes L. C.Kovacevic A. (7)0 : 2
    5Altmaier D. (5)Schoolkate T.0 : 2
    6Nanda G.Shapovalov D. (3)0 : 2
    7Walton A. (8)Basavareddy N.2 : 0
    8Duckworth J.Davidovich Fokina A. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Rublev A. (1)Nava E.2 : 1
    2Ficovich J. P.Kovacevic A. (7)0 : 2
    3Schoolkate T.Shapovalov D. (3)0 : 2
    4Walton A. (8)Duckworth J.2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Rublev A. (1)Kovacevic A. (7)1 : 2
    2Shapovalov D. (3)Walton A. (8)2 : 0

    Final
    1Kovacevic A. (7)Shapovalov D. (3)0 : 2