Result
0:1
31/01/2026 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 23
- Referee: Van Driessche B. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belgium | Sporza, Sporza |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 1.67 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (414/514) | 80% (321/400) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 1.67 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 2.25 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 43 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (414/514) | 80% (321/400) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (23/60) | 38% (18/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (119/182) | 67% (85/126) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (6/23) | 33% (3/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.19 | 1.42 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (9/16) | 26% (5/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 51 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 17 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.25 | 0.95 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.25 | 0.95 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 18', 0 - 1, Nacho ⚽, Ourega D. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Saito S. ↓, Sydorchuk S. ↑,
- 57', Lapage A. 🟨,
- 59', Tanghe A. 🟨,
- 62', Paugain W. ↓, Nyssen B. ↑,
- 62', Cappelle Y. ↓, Soglo E. ↑,
- 62', Opoku J. ↓, Gavriel S. ↑,
- 65', Neustadter R. 🟨,
- 73', Nnadi T. ↓, Vossen J. ↑,
- 73', Tanghe A. ↓, De Jaegere B. ↑,
- 78', Nacho ↓, Goure F. ↑,
- 78', Sakamoto I. ↓, Van den Keybus T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Zulte Waregem
41.2% | Draw
26.2% | Westerlo
32.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zulte Waregem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zulte Waregem's performance.Westerlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Westerlo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zulte Waregem than the current prediction. (-5.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zulte Waregem that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Westerlo than the current prediction. (+7.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Westerlo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Zulte Waregem - Westerlo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.32 ↓
(2.69) |
3.59 ↓
(3.79) |
2.92 ↑
(2.36) |
5.3%
(6.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Zulte Waregem - Westerlo?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Waregem will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Westerlo will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Westerlo: 23.1% – 88.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Waregem (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Westerlo (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Westerlo (2.07) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Waregem (votes: 2 - 40%). Westerlo (votes: 3 - 60%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: ) and 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Waregem won 1.
- Waregem is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Westerlo has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, Waregem has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Westerlo: Haidara B.
(Inactive)
Reynolds B.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Westerlo: Kimura S.
(Groin Injury)
Nacho
(Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Waregem won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:19. (average 1.7:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Waregem won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:9. (average 2.2:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Zulte Waregem won against Westerlo?
Zulte Waregem has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Westerlo won against Zulte Waregem?
Westerlo has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Zulte Waregem - Westerlo were as follows:
02.08.2025
Westerlo
-
Zulte Waregem
3:1
21.01.2023
Zulte Waregem
-
Westerlo
1:1
01.10.2022
Westerlo
-
Zulte Waregem
2:0
Latest results of Zulte Waregem
Latest results of Westerlo
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG ✔ | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 43:15 | 28 | 56 |
| 2 | St. Truiden ✔ | 26 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 44:29 | 15 | 54 |
| 3 | Club Brugge KV ✔ | 26 | 17 | 2 | 7 | 49:31 | 18 | 53 |
| 4 | Anderlecht | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 34:32 | 2 | 40 |
| 5 | KV Mechelen | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 34:29 | 5 | 39 |
| 6 | Gent | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 41:38 | 3 | 36 |
| 7 | Genk | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 36:40 | -4 | 35 |
| 8 | St. Liege | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 24:33 | -9 | 34 |
| 9 | Westerlo | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 34:38 | -4 | 34 |
| 10 | Charleroi | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 35:35 | 0 | 33 |
| 11 | Antwerp | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 29:30 | -1 | 30 |
| 12 | Waregem | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 36:42 | -6 | 29 |
| 13 | Leuven | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 28:37 | -9 | 28 |
| 14 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 34:40 | -6 | 27 |
| 15 | RAAL La Louviere | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 21:30 | -9 | 25 |
| 16 | Dender | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 21:44 | -23 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Royale Union SG is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
St. Truiden is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
Club Brugge KV is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
