Result
2:1
21/07/2025 at 11:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Washington, hard - 1/32-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 56% | 63% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 66% (35/53) | 65% (46/71) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 67% (28/42) | 52% (22/42) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 73% (11/15) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 37% (26/71) | 34% (18/53) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 48% (20/42) | 33% (14/42) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 27% (4/15) | 27% (3/11) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 28 | 32 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 38 | 49 |
| Net Points Won |
|---|
| 57% (12/21) | 78% (31/40) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 66% (63/95) | 59% (67/113) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 41% (46/113) | 34% (32/95) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 52% (109/208) | 48% (99/208) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 80% (12/15) | 73% (11/15) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 27% (4/15) | 20% (3/15) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 53% (16/30) | 47% (14/30) |
Chances of winning
Matteo Arnaldi
58.5% | Daniel Altmaier
41.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Matteo Arnaldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Matteo Arnaldi's form might have worsened.Daniel Altmaier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Daniel Altmaier's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Altmaier than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Matteo Arnaldi - Daniel Altmaier Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.62 ↑
(1.5) |
|
2.32 ↓
(2.63) |
4.8%
(4.7%) | |
What is the prediction for Matteo Arnaldi - Daniel Altmaier?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Arnaldi will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Altmaier will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Altmaier: 46.4% – 99%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Altmaier (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Arnaldi is ranked ATP: 44. Altmaier is ranked ATP: 61.
- Arnaldi is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Altmaier has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Altmaier may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Arnaldi might have a minor edge in this game.
- In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Matteo Arnaldi won against Daniel Altmaier?
Matteo Arnaldi has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Daniel Altmaier won against Matteo Arnaldi?
Daniel Altmaier has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Matteo Arnaldi - Daniel Altmaier were as follows:
Latest results of Matteo Arnaldi
Latest results of Daniel Altmaier
Draw
Singles - Main1/32-finals| 1 | Fritz T. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Mpetshi Perricard G. | Vukic A. | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Arnaldi M. | Altmaier D. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Bye | Sonego L. (16) | |
| 5 | Davidovich Fokina A. (12) | Bye | |
| 6 | Munar J. | Giron M. | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Tien L. | Nava E. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Bye | Rublev A. (5) | |
| 9 | Shelton B. (4) | Bye | |
| 10 | McDonald M. (WC) | Smith C. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Bonzi B. | Marozsan F. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Bye | Diallo G. (15) | |
| 13 | Cobolli F. (9) | Bye | |
| 14 | Nishioka Y. | Brooksby J. (PR) | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Halys Q. | Kovacevic A. | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Bye | Tiafoe F. (6) | |
| 17 | Medvedev D. (8) | Bye | |
| 18 | Opelka R. | Cassone M. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 19 | Monfils G. | Wu Y. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 20 | Bye | Popyrin A. (10) | |
| 21 | Michelsen A. (13) | Bye | |
| 22 | Evans D. (WC) | Bergs Z. | 2 : 1 |
| 23 | Zhukayev B. (Q) | Muller A. | 0 : 2 |
| 24 | Bye | Moutet C. (LL) | |
| 25 | De Minaur A. (7) | Bye | |
| 26 | Goffin D. | Bu Y. | 0 : 2 |
| 27 | Svajda Z. (Q) | Kecmanovic M. | 2 : 1 |
| 28 | Bye | Lehecka J. (11) | |
| 29 | Nakashima B. (14) | Bye | |
| 30 | Quinn E. (WC) | O'Connell C. | 2 : 0 |
| 31 | Norrie C. | Harris B. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 32 | Bye | Musetti L. (2) | |
1/16-finals| 1 | Fritz T. (1) | Vukic A. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Arnaldi M. | Sonego L. (16) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Davidovich Fokina A. (12) | Munar J. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Tien L. | Rublev A. (5) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Shelton B. (4) | McDonald M. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Marozsan F. | Diallo G. (15) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Cobolli F. (9) | Nishioka Y. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Kovacevic A. | Tiafoe F. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Medvedev D. (8) | Opelka R. | 2 : 1 |
| 10 | Wu Y. | Popyrin A. (10) | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Michelsen A. (13) | Evans D. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Muller A. | Moutet C. | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | De Minaur A. (7) | Bu Y. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Svajda Z. | Lehecka J. (11) | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Nakashima B. (14) | Quinn E. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Norrie C. | Musetti L. (2) | 2 : 1 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Fritz T. (1) | Arnaldi M. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Davidovich Fokina A. (12) | Tien L. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Shelton B. (4) | Diallo G. (15) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Cobolli F. (9) | Tiafoe F. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Medvedev D. (8) | Wu Y. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Evans D. | Moutet C. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | De Minaur A. (7) | Lehecka J. (11) | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Nakashima B. (14) | Norrie C. | 2 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Fritz T. (1) | Davidovich Fokina A. (12) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Shelton B. (4) | Tiafoe F. (6) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Medvedev D. (8) | Moutet C. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | De Minaur A. (7) | Nakashima B. (14) | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Davidovich Fokina A. (12) | Shelton B. (4) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Moutet C. | De Minaur A. (7) | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Davidovich Fokina A. (12) | De Minaur A. (7) | 1 : 2 |
