Caxias vs Ponte Preta – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie C Caxias - Ponte Preta
Result
2:1
27/07/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - First stage - Round 14
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Sky+, Zapping

Match Stats

Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
118
Shots on target
55
Corner Kicks
53
Yellow Cards
35
Total shots
118
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
63
Corner Kicks
53
Goalkeeper Saves
43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 10', 0 - 1, Jeh ,
  • 20', 1 - 1, Calyson ,
  • 22', Jeh 🟨,
  • 45+4', Vinicius Guedes 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Jean Dias , Diego Tavares ,
  • 51', Calyson 🟨,
  • 52', Bruno Lopes 🟨,
  • 62', Bruno Lopes , Leocovick ,
  • 66', Leocovick 🟨,
  • 68', Calyson , Douglas Skilo ,
  • 69', Eduardo Melo , Gustavo Nescau ,
  • 71', Jeh , Pacheco ,
  • 76', Pedro Rocha 🟨,
  • 81', Iago 🟨,
  • 83', Iago , Alisson ,
  • 84', Marcelo , Jhonatan Ribeiro ,
  • 88', Maguinho , Jonas Toro ,
  • 88', Luiz Felipe , Rodrigo Souza ,
  • 90+2', Pedro Cuiaba , Lorran ,
  • 90+6', Artur 🟨,
  • 90+8', 2 - 1, Lorran ,

Chances of winning


Caxias
39.2%
Draw
32.1%
Ponte Preta
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40% 30% 30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7% 28.8% 28.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Caxias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • Ponte Preta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caxias than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponte Preta than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • Caxias - Ponte Preta Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.42
    (2.25)
    2.95
    (3)
    3.31
    (3)
    5.5%
    (11.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Caxias - Ponte Preta?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Caxias will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Ponte Preta will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Caxias (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).
    • At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
    • Caxias may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Caxias could have a small edge in this match.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Caxias
    13.07.2025 Caxias - Anápolis 1:0
    05.07.2025 CS Alagoano - Caxias 2:3
    29.06.2025 Caxias - Ituano 2:1
    14.06.2025 Botafogo PB - Caxias 1:2
    Latest results of Ponte Preta
    19.07.2025 Ponte Preta - Floresta 2:1
    07.07.2025 Ponte Preta - Tombense 1:0
    14.06.2025 Ponte Preta - ABC 0:0
    02.06.2025 Ponte Preta - Ypiranga 0:1
    Brazilian Serie C Table
    Second stage

    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Londrina10102:201
    2Sao Bernardo10102:201
    3SER Caxias00000:000
    4Floresta EC00000:000


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ponte Preta11001:013
    2Nautico00000:000
    3Brusque00000:000
    4Guarani10010:1-10

          Promotion ~ Serie B Superbet